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In contrast to the production surplus in MY 2023/24, total citrus production is expected to decrease 36 percent in MY 2024/25 to around 5 million metric tons (MMT) due to excessive heat during the blooming period and drought conditions during the harvest period. Due to projected decreased production, it is expected that citrus prices at supermarkets will increase.
Turkiye’s HRI sector continues to grapple with rising inflation and economic uncertainty, while sales in terms of U.S. dollars have yet to recover to pre-pandemic levels.
Turkiye’s cotton production in marketing year (MY) 2024/25 is forecast to increase to 865,000 metric tons (MT; 3.97 million bales), since farmers planted cotton on larger area in response to temporary cotton price hikes during the planting season and because of better yields compared to last MY due to better weather conditions.
Global lentil exports in 2020 jumped from $1 billion to $2.6 billion compared to the year before. Canada and Australia led the surge, accounting for more than three-fourths of the exports. Lentil exports peaked at $2.7 billion in 2015 but drifted lower through 2019, primarily due to reduced shipments from Canada to India and Turkey and from the United States to Canada and India.
Turkey announced the elimination of tariffs on some pulses and grains.
It is an “off-year” for pistachios in Turkey, and consequently, Post forecasts a low production level for MY 2021/22.
The Turkish cotton crop for MY 2021/22 is forecast at 450,000 hectares and 750,000 metric tons (MT) (3.45 million bales).
The cattle number forecast for 2022 is expected to be 18.8 million head. This three percent increase in the cattle estimate is a result of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MinAF) subsidies for calf production and projected feeder cattle imports for 2022.
Despite the rapidly growing demand for chicken meat in Turkey due to the growing population, in 2022 chicken meat production is forecast to increase only three percent compared to 2021 to 2.23 million metric tons (MMT).