Browse Data and Analysis

Korea’s marketing year (MY) 2024/25 citrus production is forecast down 2.6 percent to 565,000 MT, a 10-year low, on gradually declining acreage and adverse weather conditions. Jeju Island, where nearly all Korean citrus is grown, experienced a prolonged summer heat wave lasting into mid-September, followed by excessive fall rain, which caused fruit cracking and rot.

Post expects Morocco’s Tangerine/mandarin production for MY 2024/25 to reach an estimated 1.1 million metric tons, increasing 16 percent over MY 2023/24, orange production should increase by 17 percent over the previous year to 960,000 MT, while lemon/lime production will reach 45,000 MT.

In contrast to the production surplus in MY 2023/24, total citrus production is expected to decrease 36 percent in MY 2024/25 to around 5 million metric tons (MMT) due to excessive heat during the blooming period and drought conditions during the harvest period. Due to projected decreased production, it is expected that citrus prices at supermarkets will increase.

The Brazilian orange crop for Marketing Year (MY) 2024/25 is forecast at 320 million 90-pound boxes (MBx) - standard reference, equivalent to 13 million metric tons (MMT), a decrease of 15 percent compared to the previous Post estimate for MY 2023/24 (378 million boxes or 15.42 MMT).

In Marketing Year (MY) 2024/25 growers in South Africa are forecast to divert more citrus volumes towards processing as elevated prices make juicing a lower risk alternative. The production of orange, grapefruit, tangerine/mandarin and lemon in MY...

Peruvian mandarin/tangerine production and exports are expected to increase two and four percent, respectively in MY 2024/2025 (April 2025 to March 2026). Production is forecast to reach 570,000 metric tons (MT), while exports are forecast at 225,000...

Israel’s planted citrus area in marketing year (MY) 2024/25 is forecast to be lower than MY 2023/24 figures due to low profitability and water shortages, which has disincentivized farmers to plant new citrus plots. This year, the war also had a...

Mandarin production in Japan continues to decline because of high summer temperatures, in addition to a decreasing number of farmers and planted acreage. Such factors are not anticipated to markedly increase citrus imports from the United States...

For Marketing Year (MY) 2024/2025, Post forecasts a reduction in fresh lemon production due to persistent rainfall during the blooming period, which is expected to adversely affect fruit development. Similarly, for MY 2023/2024, Post adjusts its...

Egypt is one of the larges citrus producers and exporters in the world, primarily for oranges. In marketing year (MY) 2024/25, FAS/Cairo forecasts fresh orange exports to reach 1.95 million metric tons (MMT) down from almost 2.3 MMT in the previous...

In marketing year (MY) 2024/25, due to the increase in area planted and assuming regular yields, Post estimates that lemon production will grow by 2.6 percent, reaching 197,000 metric tons (MT). Chilean lemon exports will increase 3.3 percent...

FAS/San José expects orange production to increase approximately 11 percent in marketing year (MY) 2024/25 to 250,000 metric tons. Production in MY 2023/24 was lower than previously expected at 225,000 metric tons as a result of erratic rainfall patterns associated with the El Niño weather phenomenon.