Brazil: Citrus Annual

  |   Attaché Report (GAIN)   |   BR2024-0043
The Brazilian orange crop for Marketing Year (MY) 2024/25 is forecast at 320 million 90-pound boxes (MBx) - standard reference, equivalent to 13 million metric tons (MMT), a decrease of 15 percent compared to the previous Post estimate for MY 2023/24 (378 million boxes or 15.42 MMT). Despite this decrease, Brazil’s production is anticipated to recover slightly from the current season, which was the lowest since 1988. Post forecasts orange weight at 160 grams/5.64 ounces in MY 2024/25, three percent lighter than Post’s previous estimate of 165 grams for MY 2023/24 due to adverse weather conditions. Post forecasts the Brazilian FCOJ 66 Brix equivalent production for MY 2024/25 at 1.0 MMT, a decrease of 3.6 percent vis-à-vis the Post estimate for MY 2023/24 (1.06 MMT), due to lower availability of oranges for processing from the current harvest. The production decrease is due to drought, extremely high temperatures, and the increase in greening incidence in the citrus belt.

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