Japan: Citrus Annual
Overall citrus acreage in Japan continues to decline amid decreasing consumption and aging rural population. In the 2019/20 marketing year (MY), mandarin production is forecast to hit a historic low of 740,000 metric tons. Japan’s rising demand for lemon-like citrus will be met through increasing imports and land use transition from mandarin to lemon production. The new U.S.-Japan trade agreement includes a stepwise tariff reduction and increase in safeguard levels for U.S. orange exports to Japan. In response to reduced mandarin production and anticipated tariff reduction, Post forecasts a modest increase in U.S. orange exports to Japan in the 2019/20 MY.