Browse Data and Analysis

The Ministry of Trade temporarily banned lemon exports as of April 8, 2025, due to a predicted supply shortage following cold weather and frost damage in the southeast.

The Marketing Year (MY) 2025/26 sugar beet area and production figures are forecast to remain the same as last year. Centrifugal sugar production remains the same year-on-year at 3.1 million metric tons, assuming favorable weather conditions.

For marketing year 2025/26, Indonesian sugarcane and plantation white sugar productions are forecast to further increase to 35.0 million metric tons (MMT) and 2.6 million metric tons (MMT) respectively.

Sugar production in 2025/26 is projected to reach 6.6 million tons, which is 13.7 percent higher than the 2024/25 estimated production. This increase is based on expectations for improved sugar content and average cane yield.

With favorable weather and steady fertilization, palm oil production is anticipated to rise 3 percent reaching 47 million metric tons (MMT) for 2025/26.

Wheat production is projected to fall to 27.5 million tons in 2025/26 due to a decrease in cultivated area and extremely dry weather. This shortfall in domestic production is expected to lead to increased imports, forecast at 1.7 million tons.

Turkiye’s MY 2025/26 wheat and barley production, most of which are grown without irrigation, are projected to decline year-on-year due to limited rainfall during the fall and winter months and prospects of more dry weather.

Indonesia offers significant opportunities for U.S. food ingredient suppliers to supply raw materials for its 100-billion-dollar food processing industry.

Türkiye’s cotton production in marketing year (MY) 2025/26 is forecast to decrease to 760,000 metric tons (MT; 3.6 million bales), based on the assumption that cotton prices will remain stagnant and orders to Turkish ready-to-wear apparel producers will remain lower than normal. Cotton farmers were unable to make adequate profits in recent MY's to cover rising input costs.

Facing dry growing conditions and slumping cotton prices, Turkish farmers are expected to switch from cotton to produce more sunflowerseeds and other row crops in marketing year (MY) 2025/26.

Following an estimated decrease of Indonesian cotton consumption in 2024/25 of 1.795 million bales, cotton consumption in 2025/26 is forecast to remain on par at 1.8 million bales.

Sustained rainfall due to a subsiding El Nino and a weak La Nina that is predicted to last until April 2025 will likely lead to increased rice and corn production in 2024/25.