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Post estimates marketing year (MY) 2022/2024 soybean production at 875,000 metric tons (MT), the lowest level in sixteen years due to a historic drought affecting Uruguay and neighboring Argentina. As a result, Post reduces MY 2022/23 exports to 850,000 MT.
For marketing year (MY) 2023/24, Post’s soybean import forecast is 2.4 million MT, on Bangladesh rebounding from its current economic slowdown, while local soybean production remains flat.
Modest growth in the animal protein sector is expected to raise China’s soybean imports to 97 million metric tons (MMT) in Marketing Year (MY) 23/24. The People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) removal of COVID-related restriction in December 2022 is expected to boost overall oilseed consumption.
Turkey’s production of major oilseeds – sunflowerseeds, cottonseeds, and soybeans – in marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is projected to decrease year-over-year because of pre-earthquake market dynamics.
The Korea oilseeds and products market is mature with limited annual change, reflecting stable consumer demand and stagnant domestic production.
Tunisian MY 2023/24 soybean imports are expected to reach 540,000 MT, compared to 510,000 MT in MY 2022/23. Tunisian olive oil exports are forecast to reach 200,000 MT in MY 2023/24, compared to 155,000 MT in MY 2022/23.
In 2022/23, Brazil is forecast to reap a record soybean crop of 153 million metric tons (MMT). Post maintained the forecast for planted area expansion of 43.3 million hectares (ha). Harvest lags behind schedule compared to previous years,
Germany has long been a leader in the global pork sector and is currently the world’s second-largest pork exporter after the United States.
In June 2019, the Nigerian government formulated a new policy to invest some $500 million in expanded palm oil production.
Based on trends in the swine sector, the MY2019/20 soybean import forecast for China is reduced to 80 million metric tons (MMT).
The Government of Indonesia (GOI) is reviewing palm planted area following conflicting data from several government agencies.