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MY 2025/26 soybean crushing demand to grow at a slower pace of two percent due to slow economic recovery with uncertainties from the U.S. reciprocal tariff measures.
MY 2023/24 and MY 2024/25 soybean crush will be well below the five-year pre-pandemic average annual growth due to a slow economic recovery.
The Black Sea region is a significant supplier of agricultural commodities to the world. Over the past year, global grain and oilseed markets have been roiled by the ongoing military conflict in Ukraine.
FAS Bangkok (Post) expects soybean imports to rebound in Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 and further increase to around 4 million metric tons in MY2023/24, driven by strong demand for poultry and swine feed.
FY2022 agricultural exports reach record levels.
A number of factors have converged over the last 18 months to send global agricultural commodity prices to near-record levels. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – and the potential loss of Ukrainian exports – was the latest development to push commodity prices higher.
Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 soybean imports are expected to increase 5 percent from a slow import growth in MY2021/22, driven by the recovery in hotel and food service sector. Palm oil production in MY2021/22 and MY2022/23 is expected to continue the upward trend.
FY2021 agricultural exports reach record levels.
In the first quarter of 2021, U.S. soybean exports reached the second-highest value ever at $7.7 billion, nearly double the same period last year.
A package of export restricting measures aimed at the oilseeds market is expected to dampen the trend of increasing oilseed production in Russia.
The Russian Federation recently extended the waiver on a previously established ban of imports of some GE soybeans and soybean meal without state registration to January 1, 2022.
The gradual economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic is expected to continue to drive up import demand for soybeans in MY2020/21 and MY2021/22