Browse Data and Analysis

This semi-annual report includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in livestock and poultry.

FAS Nairobi projects Kenya’s chicken meat production to increase by about eight percent in 2025, supported by better access to quality chicks, veterinary inputs, and strong demand. Although feed costs remain high, local feed quality is gradually improving.

Turkiye has been focusing on importing feeder cattle, which has not historically helped to increase herd numbers due to inefficient domestic production policies and weak animal health and farm management.

FAS/Tokyo forecasts Japan’s chicken market to remain stable in 2026, with modest growth in imports driven by steady demand and evolving challenges. Production is expected to match 2025 levels, as rising costs—due to yen depreciation, high feed prices, and biosecurity measures—limit expansion.

Brazil is the third-largest chicken meat producer in the world after the United States and the largest chicken meat exporter in the world. Post forecasts chicken meat production will increase 3 percent in 2026 due to consistent external demand, a lower currency valuation, sluggish socio-economic performance, lower production costs, and increased domestic consumption.

Korea’s chicken industry is poised for modest growth in 2026, with production set to increase 0.5 percent despite supply constraints in parental stock broilers.

Post projects Calendar Year (CY)2026 Argentine poultry production at 2.58 million metric tons (MT), up 50,000 MT from updated CY2025 estimates, based on slowly growing domestic demand. CY2026 exports are projected at 150,000 MT, slightly less than downwardly-revised CY2025 estimates, based on expectations Argentina will continue navigating the closure of several overseas markets due to a Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) outbreak in late August 2025.

FAS Manila forecasts 2026 chicken meat production at 1.81 million metric tons (MMT) ready-to-cook, a 7 percent increase from the estimated production in 2025.

Paraguayan beef exports in 2026 are forecast at 490,000 tons carcass weight equivalent (cwe), down six percent due to smaller slaughter and lower beef output. Chile is expected to remain the leading destination, though shipments are projected to decline, while demand from the United States, Taiwan, and Israel is anticipated to remain strong.

China’s chicken meat production and consumption will grow modestly in 2026, though market saturation from 2025 is likely to persist for some time. Imports remain limited by HPAI-related restrictions on Brazil and parts of the United States, as well as retaliatory tariffs.

Chicken meat production in the UAE is projected to rise steadily, reaching 75,000 metric tons (MT) by 2026, supported by government feed subsidies, new large-scale poultry operations, and investments in agricultural technology.

FAS Pretoria forecasts a two percent increase in chicken meat production, reaching 1.68 million tons in Marketing Year (MY) 2026 (January to December 2026). This growth is driven by lower feed prices following the recovery of the local grains harvest in MY 2025/2026.