Browse Data and Analysis

Post increased its corn production forecast for Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 to 120 million metric tons (MMT) based on strong demand, increased prices in the domestic and international markets, and diminishing uncertainty over the availability of fertilizers. For MY 2021/22, Brazil’s corn planted area is set to reach new records.

Executive Summary Global fertilizer prices are at near record levels and may remain elevated throughout 2022 and beyond. Fertilizer prices account for nearly one-fifth of U.S. farm cash costs, with an even greater share for corn and wheat producers...

Anufood Brazil 2022 was one of the first in-person food and beverage shows in Sao Paulo since the COVID-19 pandemic. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) endorsed the show and provided excellent opportunities for U.S. exporters. USDA is endorsing the show again next year.

The Brazilian orange crop for Marketing Year (MY) 2021/22 is forecast at 414.4 million 40.8-kg boxes (MBx) or 16.91 million metric tons (MMT), an increase of 15 percent vis-à-vis the current season, supported by good weather conditions as of October 2021.

ATO/Sao Paulo forecasts the Brazilian coffee production for Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 (July-June) at 64.3 million 60-kg bags, an increase of 11 percent compared to the last crop. Although Arabica trees are on the on-year of the biennial production cycle, production should be constrained by adverse weather conditions in 2021.

The Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, and Food Supply (MAPA) published Ordinance 558, which establishes procedures for accreditation, modification, audit, and cancellation of edible animal-origin products registration in Brazil.

On Thursday May 12, the Government of Brazil (GOB) cut import tariffs for several categories of goods, focusing on food staples in an attempt to reduce consumer inflation. Import tariffs on beef, chicken, corn, wheat flour, wheat, cookies and bakery products were eliminated through the end of the year.

Post forecasts production at 14.85 million metric tons in 2022, growing two percent due to strong external demand. Production is forecast to set historical record. Consumption for 2022 is forecast at 10.25 million metric tons, slightly reduced from 2021.

For 2022/23, Post forecasts cotton planted area to shrink 3 percent compared to the current season, to 1.55 million hectares. The Post forecast for 2022/23 cotton production is 12.6 million bales, or 2.74 million metric tons (MMT), down from 13 million bales (2.83 MMT) in 2020/21.

Brazil’s Marketing Year (MY) 2022/23 sugarcane crop is forecast to recover to 613 million metric tons (mmt), an increase of six percent compared to the final estimate for MY 2021/22 (576 mmt), supported by better weather conditions vis-à-vis the previous year.

Chile remains the largest South American consumer-oriented market for U.S. exporters. Increasing wealth, lower barriers to entry, and the modern Chilean economy present opportunities for increased agricultural trade as COVID-19 restrictions and social-political tensions ease.

Post revised its Marketing Year 2021/2022 (MY21/22) estimates of the Cambodia rice harvested area and production at 3,335 thousand hectares (THA) and 9.61 million metric tons (MMT), higher than the USDA official numbers.