Browse Data and Analysis

Post forecasts Ethiopia’s wheat production to reach 6.5 million metric tons (MT) in MY 2025/26, driven by improved yields and expanded irrigated farmland. In the same period, wheat imports are projected to decline by 24 percent to 1.3 million MT.

Production of wheat, corn, barley, and oats is forecast to increase two percent year-over-year to 62.7 million metric tons (MT) in MY 2025/26 and area planted to grains will increase 2.2 percent year-over-year to 27.5 million hectares, according to Statistics Canada’s planting intentions survey.

A large portion of Australia’s winter cropping area is well-positioned, heading into the forecast year. In New South Wales, Queensland, and Western Australia, early seasonal conditions are favorable, indicating potential for strong wheat and barley production.

New Zealand’s grain and feed sector is relatively small on a global scale, producing around 2.1 million metric tons (MMT) annually, well below the country’s total demand for feed, leading to the import of approximately 60 percent of its grain and feed needs.

Paraguay’s wheat exports inn marketing year (MY) 2025/26 are forecast at 550,000 metric tons (MT), edging up slightly from the previous year, supported by a modest expansion in planted area even as yields may decline marginally.

Malaysia relies on imports to satisfy local demand for grain commodities including rice, corn, and wheat.

Uruguay’s corn production is forecast to reach a record 1.8 million tons, as favorable margins and low pest impact encourage a return to planting. Wheat exports are projected down to 750,000 tons due to reduced area and competition from more...

Corn leads the charge with exports forecast at 37 million tons, the third highest in history as farmers return in force following the MY2023/24 corn stunt or chicharrita setback.

Wheat consumption in marketing year (MY) 2025/2026 (July 2025/June 2026) in Haiti is forecast at 435,000 metric tons (MT), 1 percent higher compared to the previous period last year due to expected population growth.

Continuing economic growth; increasing tourism; a healthy hotel, restaurant, and institutional sector; and a growing population will lead the UAE’s wheat and rice consumption to grow in the 2025-2026 marketing year (MY).

Unfavorable weather conditions in autumn 2024 resulted in decreased winter wheat area. Functioning maritime logistics in MY2023/24 and the first half of MY2024/25 kept shipping rates stable and have allowed Ukraine to quicky and cost efficiently export large volumes of commodities to distant markets.

A larger than average crop this year caused Kazakhstan to introduce export subsidies for shipping wheat to Europe and other Central Asian countries effective through September 1, 2025.