Browse Data and Analysis

Production of wheat, corn, barley, and oats is forecast to increase two percent year-over-year to 62.7 million metric tons (MT) in MY 2025/26 and area planted to grains will increase 2.2 percent year-over-year to 27.5 million hectares, according to Statistics Canada’s planting intentions survey.

Thai export rice prices experienced downward pressure and then slightly recovered after Songkran holidays, reflecting tariff changes and adjustments in the global rice market.

The Canadian Food Inspection Agency has issued a new directive for “Phytosanitary requirements for the importation and domestic movement of grapevine material for propagation or decorative use as fresh cut vines”.

The federal government announced a set of relief measures for Canadian businesses impacted by tariffs with the United States, including the temporary remission of surtaxes applied on U.S. goods from Canada’s retaliatory list, provided these goods are used as inputs in food and beverage manufacturing, processing, and packaging.

The Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) and the USDA Food Safety and Inspection Service (FSIS) have negotiated new conditions for the importation of U.S. natural casings from the United States to Canada.

FAS/San José expects sugar production in marketing year 2024/2025 to decline by seven percent to 394,000 metric tons (MT). Lower production is the result of adverse weather conditions during the development stage of the sugarcane, as well as during the early stages of the harvest.

MY 2025/26 sugar production is expected to further increase 2 percent from MY 2024/25. MY 2024/25 sugar demand by industrial uses is likely to decline significantly due to the Chinese ban on Thai sugar syrup exports.

The Canadian food and beverage processing sector is the largest manufacturing sector in Canada in terms of both GDP and employment, representing over 16 percent of Canada's manufacturing GDP and 17 percent of Canada's manufacturing jobs.

FAS Bangkok forecasts stability, with modest growth expected in rice and corn production, supported by favorable weather and strong domestic demand.

MY 2025/26 soybean crushing demand to grow at a slower pace of two percent due to slow economic recovery with uncertainties from the U.S. reciprocal tariff measures.

The Canadian cattle herd continued to experience contraction to begin 2025, however, there are signs of herd stabilization as cow slaughter declines and producers indicate an increase in heifer retention for beef replacement.

Production of oilseeds (including canola, soybeans, and sunflower seeds) is forecast to increase only marginally in MY 2025/26 over the previous marketing year, reaching 25.57 million MT.