Browse Data and Analysis

Mexico’s grain production outlook for marketing year (MY) 2025/2026 is higher for corn, rice, and sorghum due to higher local prices driving farmer planting decisions.

On March 17, 2025, Mexico adopted a constitutional amendment banning domestic cultivation of “genetically modified” corn

The 2025 Government of Mexico fiscal year budget for the Secretariat of Agriculture and Rural Development (SADER) is USD 3.6 billion, slightly higher than the previous year, and four percent lower in real terms.

The Government of Mexico extended the Presidential Anti-Inflation Decree through 2025, maintaining tariff-free access to Mexico’s market for select agricultural products from non-free trade agreement partners.

Mexico is the world’s sixth-largest producer of chicken meat and robust domestic demand is projected to boost production and imports in 2025. High beef and pork prices position chicken meat as the more affordable meat choice.

Mexican cattle exports to the United States resumed in February 2025 after a 70-day pause due to a New World screwworm detection.

Post forecasts marketing year (MY) 2024/25 production at 0.91 million 480-lb bales, basically flat compared to MY 2023/24 due to high input costs, drought conditions, power outages, and lack of access to new genetically engineered seed varieties.

In 2023, Mexico imported $51 billion of food ingredient products, of which 63 percent were sourced from the United States. Mexico’s food processing industry is the second largest in Latin America, behind Brazil, making Mexico a top destination for U.S. food ingredients.

Lower feed prices are expected to boost producer profits in 2024, thereby increasing domestic beef and pork production. Beef imports are forecast to decrease, and pork imports are expected to remain nearly flat.

The outlook for Mexican grain production in marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 is higher year-on-year for corn, wheat, rice, and sorghum based on farmer planting decisions on more average weather conditions and a gradual recovery from exceptional drought conditions.