Browse Data and Analysis

In marketing year (MY) 2022/23, production of grains is forecast to increase 30 percent year-over-year on an increase in area planted to spring wheat, durum, and oats, and on the assumption of improved soil moisture conditions resulting in higher yields. However, dry conditions persist in Alberta and Western Saskatchewan and many farmers are behind in their planting schedule, due to unfavorable planting conditions.

Effective April 18, 2022, Taiwan temporarily modified its restrictions on imports of poultry and poultry products from the United States and Canada impacted by Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI). The modification allows imports of poultry and poultry products from banned U.S. states if the date of slaughter is 14 days or more before the applicable HPAI ban began.

On April 19, 2022, Taiwan notified the WTO of updates to its pesticide residue limits for foods and animal products. Attached to this report are tables containing the new or revised standards for 58 new chemical/crop combinations and 31 new chemical/animal combinations.

The Canadian Food Inspection Agency (CFIA) has provided notice that CFIA will modernize the approach for import requirements for pet chews made from animal products and by-products.

The 2021 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world.

MY2022/23 wheat production is forecast flat at 6,000 MT, unchanged from the previous two MYs. Australia recovered its market share thanks to drought recovery but the United States remains the chief supplier with 66 percent market share.

Canola ending stocks are forecast to close marketing year (MY) 2021/22 at just 15 percent of the five-year average, driven by reduced yield due to drought and strong global demand for oilseeds. Assuming a return to average yields, canola exports are forecast to nearly double in MY 2022/23, driven by strong global demand for oilseeds and a rebuilding of exportable supplies.

Taiwan’s soybean imports are projected to reach 2.63 and 2.65 MMT in MY2021/22 and MY 2022/23. Soybean import demand will be buoyed by steady feed demand as well as exports and demand for soybean oil. In MY 2020/21, Taiwan’s COVID-19 control restrictions in Q2-Q3 had some negative impact on demand from the HRI sector, especially for soybean oil and palm oil which are favored in commercial use.

Following a special review decision of chlorothalonil, Canada’s Pest Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA) has proposed to cancel the use of chlorothalonil on food crops and other outdoor uses as well as the revocation of al chlorothalonil maximum residue limits (MRLs).

On March 21, 2022, the Health Canada Pest Management Regulatory Agency (PMRA) opened a consultation on a facet of their Transformation Agenda concerning a target review of aspects of the Pest Control Products Act.

The ongoing contraction of the Canadian cattle herd is expected to continue in 2022. Canadian live cattle exports are forecast to decline on a smaller calf crop. High feed costs and limited availability will see live exports outpace 2021 through the first half of 2022.