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This report contains FAS-Nur-Sultan’s production estimates for MY2021/22 and trade estimates for MY2020/21. An unusually warm and dry growing season led to an earlier grain harvest, beginning in mid-August.

Excess rains in September helped offset delayed, erratic monsoon rains of the previous months. The monsoon came to an end with an extended withdrawal in early October.

FAS Mumbai (Post) forecasts marketing year (MY) 2021/2022 cotton production at 28 million 480 lb. bales on an area of 12.4 million hectares.

Market Year (MY) 2021/22 (October-September) centrifugal sugar production will grow by three percent to 34.7 million metric tons (MMT), equivalent to 31.8 MMT of crystal white sugar, on account of higher yields.

Post estimates that the sugar cane crop will fall by 2 percent to 17.9 million MT in the 2021/22 MY, based on cane that was burnt and rejected by sugar mills during the civil unrest and protests in KwaZulu-Natal, frost damage in some growing areas in June 2021, and some growers diversifying to more profitable crops.

The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted India’s hospitality sector, which is expected take another year to reach pre-COVID conditions and sales.

According to Statistics South Africa (StatsSA), South Africa’s food service sector generated revenues valued at US $3 billion in 2020, down 32 percent from 2019.

Driven by more area and better yields, centrifugal sugar production in 2021/22 is forecast at 6.7 million tons, up 11 percent over the current year’s revised estimate.