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Exporters and importers continue to face much uncertainty due to the military regime’s foreign currency control policies and continuing conflict between the regime and ethnic armed forces. FAS Rangoon forecasts Burma’s MY 2024/25 rice exports to recover to 1.7 MMT amid high stocks and expected relaxation of export controls. MY 2024/25 corn exports and wheat imports will remain flat.

In January 2021, Burma’s rice exports are forecast to decrease overall due to high domestic prices and since the Chinese government has not yet issued 2021 import permits for head rice.