Browse Data and Analysis

FAS Bogota estimates marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 Colombian coffee production at 12.9 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE), 1.1 percent higher from the previous year revised figure, reflecting continued recovery from favorable weather conditions and producers adopting improved agronomic practices to mitigate climate change shocks.

Peru's coffee production and exports look to continue their recent growth trends and are expected to increase seven and six percent, respectively, in marketing year (MY) 2024/25. Production is forecast to reach 4.22 million 60-kilogram bags in MY 2024/2025, while exports are forecast at 4.07 million bags.

In MY 2024/2025, Colombian coffee production is anticipated to reach 12.4 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE). However, the pace of production recovery is hindered by El Niño, which has led to increased rates of borer infestation and affected some crops.

In market year (MY) 2023/2024, Colombia's coffee production is expected to recover to 11.5 million bags green bean equivalent (GBE) given drier conditions and improved sunlight resulting from the El Niño phenomenon.

In marketing year (MY) 2023/24, Colombian coffee production is forecast to increase by 3 percent to 11.6 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE) coffee driven by improving weather conditions, which have hurt production over the past two years.

Coffee production in marketing year (MY) 2023/2024 (April/March) is forecast at 4.2 million 60- kilogram bags, increasing 16 percent from the previous year.

Excessive rains and cloudiness in the last two years have suppressed Colombia's coffee production. In marketing year (MY) 2022/23, Post forecasts Colombian production at 12.6 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE) coffee. Although local prices remain high, weather conditions are expected to continue affecting crop productivity.

In marketing year (MY) 2022/23, Colombia's coffee production is forecast to remain unchanged at 13 million bags of green bean equivalent (GBE). Although weather conditions are expected to be normal, crop productivity has the potential to be negatively impacted as a result of lower fertilizer use due to rising prices.

Coffee production in MY 2022/2023 is forecast at 4.03 million 60-kilogram bags, an increase of two percent from the previous year. Peru’s coffee exports in MY 2022/2023 are forecast at 3.95 million 60-kilogram bags, a slight increase from the previous year.

In marketing year (MY) 2021/22, Post's revised Colombian coffee production forecast is down to 13.8 million bags (1 bag = 60 kilograms) green bean equivalent (GBE), due to potentially heavy rains from the La Niña weather phenomena that is projected to materialize towards the end of 2021 and the beginning of 2022

In marketing year (MY) 2021/22, the Colombian coffee production forecast is 14.1 million bags (1 bag = 60 kilograms) green bean equivalent (GBE), assuming excessive rains during the first quarter of the year will marginally impact the October/November harvest.

Peru's coffee production and exports are expected to increase in the 2021/22 marketing year.