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Türkiye’s cotton production in marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is forecast to decrease to 755,000 metric tons (MT; 3.5 million bales), since farmers will choose to plant less cotton in response to decreasing cotton prices and rising input costs.
Post increased the forecast for 2023/24 cotton area planted to 1.67 million hectares (ha), an increase of just under one percent from the 1.66 million ha cotton area estimate for 2022/23.
FAS Mumbai forecasts marketing year (MY) 2023/24 India cotton production at 26 million 480 lb. bales on 12.7 million hectares area planted, unchanged from the previous report.
The 2023/24 harvested area estimate is increased slightly based on information collected during recent field travel.
Mali, Burkina Faso, and Senegal area harvested for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is forecast to remain the same as the previous year at 1.23 million hectares (MHA) based on good farm gate prices, governments’ input subsidies, and farmers’ debt cancellation by the Malian and Senegalese governments.
The February 6, 2023 earthquakes greatly affected Kahramanmaras, the center of Turkiye's cotton yarn and textile production, but the industry is already on the road to recovery.
Cotton production is forecast to rebound 36 percent to 5.3 million bales in 2023/24. After the flood damaged 2022/23 crop, yields should return to trend, while better returns from competing crops will limit area expansion.
The drought in Andalucía is anticipated to prevent further expansion of Spain’s cotton area in MY 2023/24. Irrigation water allocation will be critical for farmer’s planting decisions, and temperatures and pest incidence during the summer months will also determine final yields.
Cotton production in Australia is primed for a near record 5.8 million bales in MY 2023/24, stringing together three successive big crops starting from the record 5.85 million bales in MY 2021/22.
Post forecasts MY2022/23 cotton imports to increase 4 percent but remain well below the 5-year average annual import demand from MY2017/18 – MY2021/22 in anticipation of slow economic recovery in 2023.
Cotton production in Peru is estimated to reach 16,000 MT in CY 2023, increasing 8 percent compared to the previous year.