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Brazil is the world’s second-largest ethanol and third-largest biodiesel producer but has yet to introduce renewable diesel or sustainable aviation fuel. Post forecasts total ethanol production at 32.5 billion liters in CY 2024, with cane ethanol forecast at 25.5 billion liters and corn ethanol production at seven billion liters.

The People’s Republic of PRC (PRC) bio-based diesel (BBD) exports are expected to drop following the EU provisional antidumping duties of up to 36.4 percent on biodiesel and hydrogenation-derived renewable diesel (HDRD), though sustainable aviation fuel will provisionally be excluded from further duties.

In 2023, consumption of bioethanol and biomass-based diesel (BBD) are estimated to have increased by respectively 4.5 percent to 6.58 billion liters and 0.6 percent to 17.98 billion liters. For bioethanol, the expansion is mainly due to gasoline fuel pool growth, while growth for BBD is entirely due to increased blending.

With a new government in place since December 2023, the biofuels sector is projected to move on to a freer business environment through less limitations and official controls. Changes are expected to come through a new biofuels law or reforms to the current one in place since 2021.

The Malaysian Government looks towards 2025 and B30 implementation. Interest in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is gaining traction and a few projects by the national oil company, Petronas and the state government of Sarawak are in the works.

In March 2023, Japan updated its transport biofuel standards. Japan will maintain annual target volume of on-road bioethanol at 824 million liters till March 2028. Boosting domestic production of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), including alcohol-to...

Peruvian total ethanol production in 2023 is forecast at 220 million liters, increasing 8 percent compared to the previous year. Total ethanol consumption for 2023 is forecast at 285 million liters.

In 2023, China’s biofuels policies continue to wane as a priority for the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Post forecasts China to produce and consume 3.9 billion liters of fuel ethanol in 2023, only slightly higher than 2022 consumption despite the end of “Zero Covid.”

The introduction of E5 gasoline in July 2023 restarted Indonesia’s bioethanol consumption after years of inactivity, albeit to a modest start of an estimated 2 million liters for 2023 due to E5’s price premium in a price sensitive market.

Total Brazilian ethanol production for 2023 is estimated at 32.95 billion liters, an increase of seven percent relative to 2022 due to the expected increase in sugarcane production and the steady increase in corn ethanol production.

Bioethanol consumption in 2023 is forecast at 1.17 billion liters, the highest on record, because of strong gasoline demand and a high blend rate.

The production of biomass-based diesel (BBD) is expanding globally, driven by policies mandating and incentivizing its use as an alternative to petroleum-based diesel. BBD policies tend to support rural economies, lower greenhouse gas emissions in transportation, and improve air quality.