Browse Data and Analysis

For marketing year 2025/26, Indonesian sugarcane and plantation white sugar productions are forecast to further increase to 35.0 million metric tons (MMT) and 2.6 million metric tons (MMT) respectively.

Production for Jamaica sugar is projected to fall to 33,000 metric tons (MT) for marketing year (MY) October 2025 to September 2026, consistent with the ongoing downward trend observed in the industry.

Despite area expansion by private sugar mills, a long, drawn-out El Nino in 2023/24 reduced both sugarcane and plantation white sugar production. The ongoing impact of El Nino will be immediately followed by the onset of the 2024 dry season combined with a predicted La Nina at the end of 2024, which are forecast to further reduce sugarcane and plantation white sugar production.

For marketing year (MY) October 2024 to September 2025, Post forecasts that Jamaica’s sugar production will decline to 34,000 metric tons (MT), in line with the steady decrease observed in the industry over recent years.

State-owned Indonesian energy company Pertamina will launch a new gasoline product containing 5 percent ethanol in late June 2023, utilizing ethanol derived from domestic sugarcane.

Post forecasts Jamaica’s sugar production down eight percent to 36,000 metric tons (MT) for marketing year (MY) 2023/2024, an outlook that reinforces a trend already underway with past estimates for this waning industry.

Private sugar mills expansion leads to increased production in 2022/2023. El Nino, which usually increases sugar content in sugarcane and continues area expansion by private sugar mills is forecast to further increase plantation white sugar production in 2023/24 to 2.6 million metric tons (MMT).

Private sugar mill expansion and higher rainfall as a result of La Nina weather patterns are expected to increase sugarcane yields, leading to increased sugar production in 2022/23. Despite the expected increase in production, imports of raw sugar are also forecast to increase, mainly due to higher sugar demand from the growing food and beverage industry.

Jamaica’s raw sugar production in Marketing Year (MY)2021/2022 was 40,450 MT, eight percent lower than the previous MY. In MY 2022/23, Post projects 38,000 MT of sugar due to falling production.

Higher rainfall as a result of a La Nina weather pattern is expected to increase sugarcane yields, leading to increased production in 2021/2022.

Jamaican total sugar production for MY 2020/2021 was 43,946 MT, a decrease from 60,000 MT produced in MY 2019/2020.

Jamaican sugar production for MY 2020/2021 is projected to be approximately 48,000 MT, down from 60,000 MT in MY 2019/2020.