Browse Data and Analysis

This biannual report, published in May and November, includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in sugar.

Post forecasts marketing year (MY) 2025/26 sugar production at 1.5 million metric tons, a 17 percent decrease from Post's previous MY estimate. The main factor is uncertainty over the EU’s trade policy toward Ukraine past June 2025.

FAS Cairo (Post) forecasts Egyptian sugar production in marketing year (MY) 2025/26 (October-September) to rise to 3.18 million metric tons (MMT). This increase is driven by industrial demand and higher prices for sugar beets, incentivizing many farmers to plant more beets.

This monthly report provides information on U.S. sugar import and re-exports, including the fill rate of the sugar TRQs and sugar imports from Mexico.

Despite an anticipated increase in sugarcane production, Argentina’s sugar exports for marketing year (MY) 2025/26 are forecast to decline to 515,000 metric tons (raw value), driven by significantly lower beginning stocks and more favorable returns from ethanol production under the domestic biofuels blend mandate.

FAS New Delhi projects India's sugar production to reach 35 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for the marketing year (MY) 2025/26, reflecting a 26 percent increase from the revised estimate of the current year.

The U.S.-Japan Trade Agreement (USJTA) entered Year 5 of the agreement implementation on April 1, 2023.

Post forecasts Brazil’s marketing year (MY, April – March) 2023/2024 sugarcane crush at 652 million metric tons (MMT), an increase of five percent compared to the final estimate for MY2022/23 (621 MMT).

Post forecasts Mexico’s sugar production at 5.95 million metric tons raw value (MMT-RV) for marketing year (MY) 2023/24 (October 1 – September 30), 8 percent higher than in MY 2022/23 due to reduced fertilizer prices, but below MY 2021/22 production due to continued widespread drought.

Since 2013, Venezuela’s total meat consumption has declined 66 percent due to prolonged economic collapse. However, since 2019, an improved economic environment has led to stabilized beef production and significant growth in the poultry sector.

A drought during the intensive growth stage impacted MY2023/24 sugarcane production and led Post to lower the sugar production forecast by 15 percent from MY2022/23.

For marketing year October 2023/September 2024 (MY 2023/24), Post forecasts overall sugar production in the Dominican Republic (DR) to increase slightly to 500,000 metric tons (MT) due to improved rainfall patterns.