Browse Data and Analysis

On December 14, 2021, the World Trade Organization (WTO) released its findings from the dispute panel initiated in August 2019 against India’s trade distorting sugar subsidies. The WTO report found that India’s subsidies violated its obligations under the multilateral agreement.

This biannual report, published in May and November, includes data on U.S. and global trade, production, consumption and stocks, as well as analysis of developments affecting world trade in sugar.

This annual report provides information on U.S. sugar import and re-exports, including the fill rate of the sugar TRQs and sugar imports from Mexico.

The sugar production forecast for MY21/22 (October – September) is revised down to 10.3 MMT on slower than expected growth in cane acreage and more sugar beet acreage losing out to corn.

Brazil’s Marketing Year (MY) 2021/22 sugarcane crop is estimated at 590 million metric tons (MMT), a decrease of ten percent compared to the final estimate for MY 2020/21 (657 MMT).

Market Year (MY) 2021/22 (October-September) centrifugal sugar production will grow by three percent to 34.7 million metric tons (MMT), equivalent to 31.8 MMT of crystal white sugar, on account of higher yields.

Post estimates that the sugar cane crop will fall by 2 percent to 17.9 million MT in the 2021/22 MY, based on cane that was burnt and rejected by sugar mills during the civil unrest and protests in KwaZulu-Natal, frost damage in some growing areas in June 2021, and some growers diversifying to more profitable crops.

Turkey’s sugar beet production is forecast at 19.5 MMT in MY 2021/22 and is expected to result in 2.8 MMT of sugar.

Post maintains Marketing Year 2021/22 (September/August) sugar production at 2.1 million MT, 2 percent lower than the previous year.

FAS/Canberra’s sugar cane production estimate for Australia is revised down slightly for marketing year (MY) 2021/22 to 31 million metric tons (MMT).

For Marketing Year October 2021/September 2022 (MY 2021/22), Post forecasts overall sugar production to increase to 620,000 metric tons (MT) due to favorable weather conditions.

MY2021/22 sugar production and exports are on pace to recover from the record low production in MY2020/21 with the help of favorable weather conditions.