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Post estimates marketing year (MY) 2022/2024 soybean production at 875,000 metric tons (MT), the lowest level in sixteen years due to a historic drought affecting Uruguay and neighboring Argentina. As a result, Post reduces MY 2022/23 exports to 850,000 MT.
For marketing year (MY) 2023/24, Post’s soybean import forecast is 2.4 million MT, on Bangladesh rebounding from its current economic slowdown, while local soybean production remains flat.
Modest growth in the animal protein sector is expected to raise China’s soybean imports to 97 million metric tons (MMT) in Marketing Year (MY) 23/24. The People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) removal of COVID-related restriction in December 2022 is expected to boost overall oilseed consumption.
Turkey’s production of major oilseeds – sunflowerseeds, cottonseeds, and soybeans – in marketing year (MY) 2023/24 is projected to decrease year-over-year because of pre-earthquake market dynamics.
The Korea oilseeds and products market is mature with limited annual change, reflecting stable consumer demand and stagnant domestic production.
Tunisian MY 2023/24 soybean imports are expected to reach 540,000 MT, compared to 510,000 MT in MY 2022/23. Tunisian olive oil exports are forecast to reach 200,000 MT in MY 2023/24, compared to 155,000 MT in MY 2022/23.
In 2022/23, Brazil is forecast to reap a record soybean crop of 153 million metric tons (MMT). Post maintained the forecast for planted area expansion of 43.3 million hectares (ha). Harvest lags behind schedule compared to previous years,
Indonesian palm oil production is expected to benefit from favorable weather conditions in the upcoming months, fueling production increases.
Reductions in government support to corn production encouraged Chinese farmers to plant more oilseeds, primarily soybeans.
The Netherlands is the second largest soybean and soybean meal importer in world.
Post estimates Vietnam’s wheat imported volume for MY 2016/2017 at 5.5 million tons due mainly to the competitive price of feed wheat.
Post forecasts 2017/18 and 2016/17 soybean production to 105 and 114 million metric tons (mmt), respectively.