Browse Data and Analysis

Post increased the MY2023/23 rice production forecast to 19.9 MMT to reflect greater water availability than previously projected for the MY2023/24 off-season rice crop. The forecasts for MY2023/24 corn production and imports and MY2023/24 wheat...

Export rice prices increased 3-13 percent due to the strengthening of the Thai baht which offset the downward pressure on domestic rice prices.

FAS/Sofia’s marketing year (MY) 2023/24 corn production estimate is lowered to 2.5 million metric tons (MMT) based on the harvest progress to date. The corn crop suffered from severe and prolonged summer drought and high heat which reduced yields considerably.

Information in this report was current as of September 27, 2023. Post forecasts China's MY2023/24 grain feed and residual use to increase slightly and corn production also slightly higher due to a larger planted area and improved yields.

Export rice prices fell by 1-3 percent as the Thai baht weakened and new paddy rice crop entered the market.

Egyptian marketing year (MY) 2023/24 wheat imports are estimated at 12.0 million metric tons (MMT), up by 6.9 percent from MY 2022/23 due to lower area and production.

Adverse weather conditions and lower domestic prices will constrain Colombia's corn production in market year (MY) 2023/2024, which is estimated to remain flat at 1.5 million metric tons (MMT).

Export rice prices rose 1-2 percent due to the strengthening of the Thai baht.

On October 27, 2023, India’s Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers Welfare (MOAFW) released Indian crop year (ICY) 2023/2024 (July-June) First Advance Estimate for the kharif (fall harvested) crop.

Brazil has recently started planting its corn crop for the 2023/24 season. However, due to high production costs and lower expected earnings, profit margins are under pressure. As a result, Post predicts a decrease in planted area, with production for the next season estimated to drop from 135 MMT (MY 2022/23) to 130 MMT (MY 2023/24).

Rice production in Korea is forecast to be gradually down in marketing year (MY) 2023/24 on reduced acreage in response to government incentives encouraging farmers to switch to other grains, such as wheat and soybean.

Export rice prices dropped 1-3 percent despite the strengthening of the Thai baht as the new crop MY2023/24 paddy rice entered the market.