Browse Data and Analysis

Post forecasts MY 25/26 China corn production at 300 MMT, up 1.7 percent from MY 24/25, while corn imports are forecast at 8 MMT, lower than MY 23/24 levels due to China’s focus on grain self-sufficiency.

Wheat production in MY 2025/2026 (July-June) is forecast at 217,000 metric tons (MT), reflecting a slight increase compared to the previous year's estimate. Wheat imports in MY 2025/2026 are forecast at 2.2 MMT.

In MY 2024/25, the PRC’s grain output is estimated to reach a record 706.5 million metric tons (MMT), a 1.6 percent increase driven by expanded acreage and higher yields.

Feed demand in marketing year (MY) 2024/25 is expected to recover slightly, with a projected total volume of 286.5 million metric tons (MMT). Corn is expected to dominate feed composition due to low prices, replacing wheat and old stock rice.

Higher feed demand from broiler, aquaculture, and ruminants will push total feed use slightly higher in MY2024/25 with greater corn inclusion into feed rations than previous years. MY2024/25 corn production is forecast larger than MY2023/24 with larger yields.

On May 8, 2024, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs (MARA) announced the issuance of new and renewed biosafety certificates for genetically engineered (GE) and gene-edited events.

The 2023 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2023 calendar year.

Feed production is forecast lower on declining demand from poultry and livestock producers. Corn production in MY2024/25 is forecast larger than MY2023/24 due to improved yields and a slightly larger planting area, despite government policies encouraging increased soy area and reduced corn area.

Wheat imports in marketing year (MY) 2024/2025 are forecast at 2 million metric tons (MMT). Canada led the Peruvian wheat market in calendar year (CY) 2023 with 72 percent market share.

Heavy rainfall in late summer led Post to increase Marketing Year (MY) 2023/24 corn production upwards by 4.2 percent. Post estimates corn feed and residual use at 223 Million Metric Ton (MMT) due to decreasing feed demand and low corn prices.

Information in this report was current as of September 27, 2023. Post forecasts China's MY2023/24 grain feed and residual use to increase slightly and corn production also slightly higher due to a larger planted area and improved yields.

Post forecasts China's MY2023/24 grain feed and residual use to increase slightly and corn production also slightly higher due to a larger planted area and improved yields.