Browse Data and Analysis

Heat stress resulting from an unprecedented spike in temperatures beginning in the mid-March 2022 has had a marked impact India’s wheat crop. Yields are 10-15 percent down, driving India’s forecasted market year (MY) 2022/23 (April-March) wheat production down from 110 million metric tons (MMT) to 99 MMT.

While the UK exited the shadow of Brexit and COVID-19 in marketing year (MY)2021/22 and put the 40-year low wheat crop of MY2020/21 behind it, the developments in Ukraine over the past few months have brought new uncertainties to the market.

On Friday, May 13, 2022, the Indian government announced a ban on wheat exports, effective immediately, citing the sudden spike in global wheat prices and the resulting food security risks to India.

Angola’s wheat milling capacity has increased to achieve self-sufficiency with five wheat mills now operating in the country, with milling capacity of up to 1 million metric tons of wheat per year.

In early February, Ethiopia retendered for 400,000 metric tons of milling wheat after canceling an earlier-made contract because the supplier failed to provide the $10 million performance guarantee.

Russia has harvested its largest grain crop in nearly 40 years, exceeding 134 MMT according to official reports and moving Russia into the number one position of global wheat exporters.

Israel is almost completely dependent on imports to meet its grain and feed needs.

FAS/Astana’s wheat production estimate for Kazakhstan remains unchanged at 13.5 MMT in MY 2017/2018 (Oct/Sep), and the new forecast for MY2018/19 is down to 13.4 MMT due to a slightly smaller area....

Ghana is a net importer of both rice and wheat. Post estimates Ghana’s rice imports in 2017/18 at 550,000 MT, down slightly year-to-year due to growing domestic production.

MY 2017/18 (May-April) rice production is forecast down slightly to 32.65 million metric tons on lower Aman variety production caused by unexpected rain during the grain maturing stage.

South China’s Agricultural Imports Reach New Record…Upcoming opportunities for U.S. exporters to meet with South China wood product and bakery ingredient importers…

Winter conditions have caused historic snowfall and record-low temperatures across East China.