Browse Data and Analysis

FAS Bangkok forecasts stability, with modest growth expected in rice and corn production, supported by favorable weather and strong domestic demand.

For marketing year (MY) 2025/26, Post forecasts lower rice imports than in MY 2024/25, assuming higher production based on favorable weather. Demand for wheat continues to increase and Post forecasts slightly higher imports for MY 2025/26 to align with demand.

FAS Bangkok forecasts an increase in Thailand's rice and corn production in MY 2024/25 due to acreage expansion and average yield improvement.

For the marketing year (MY) 2024/25, Post lowers rice harvested area and production to 11.4 million hectares and 36.6 million metric tons (MT), respectively, due to an estimated loss of around 300,000 hectares of aman season rice from two consecutive floods in August and October 2024.

FAS Bangkok forecasts Thailand’s rice and corn production to increase in MY 2024/25 in response to improvement in average yield due to higher water supplies, compared to MY 2023/24.

On August 5, 2024, former Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina resigned after 15 years in power, following weeks of violent protests. A new Interim Government (IG) was formed on August 8, 2024. The political situation is still evolving. For...

FAS Bangkok forecasts Thailand’s rice and corn production to increase in MY 2024/25 due to acreage expansion and average yield improvement, compared to MY 2023/24.

Bangladesh continues to increase rice production, for marketing year (MY) 2024/25, Post forecasts rice production at 37.7 million metric tons (MT). With high international prices and increased production, Post forecasts limited opportunities for Bangladesh to import rice in MY 2024/25.

FAS Bangkok forecasts Thailand’s rice and corn production to marginally increase in MY 2024/25 along with expanded acreage in response to current attractive farm-gate prices. In 2025, Thailand will likely export 7.5 million metric tons of rice or well above its 5-year average.

MY2023/24 rice and corn production forecasts remain unchanged. MY2023/24 wheat imports are revised up to 3.0 MMT.

Post slightly lowers the MY 2023/24 rice production forecast due to some minor aman season crop damage caused by a cyclone. Despite the reduced production, Post lowers the rice import forecast to 500 thousand MT, as the Government of Bangladesh maintains its high rice import tariff of 62.5 percent.

Post increased the MY2023/23 rice production forecast to 19.9 MMT to reflect greater water availability than previously projected for the MY2023/24 off-season rice crop. The forecasts for MY2023/24 corn production and imports and MY2023/24 wheat...