Browse Data and Analysis

Mexico has not officially reported any approvals for genetically engineered (GE) agricultural products for food and feed use since May 2018. Additionally, Mexico has not approved any permit applications for cultivation of GE crop (cotton and alfalfa)...

Planting of India’s rabi season (winter sown, spring harvested) crops, which includes wheat, is progressing well under adequate soil moisture conditions and irrigation water availability. Market year (MY) 2022/2023 rice production is estimated higher...

FAS Manila maintains MY 2022/23 milled rice production at 11.975 million MT, as previously stated conditions such as diminished fertilizer application still hold. FAS Manila estimates rice imports at 3.8 million MT in response to recent trade data. FAS Manila estimates wheat imports at 5.8 million MT because of high prices and industry contacts’ observations that consumers have limited purchasing power.

This report is intended to capture the estimated changes in the trade of major grains for marketing year (MY)2022/23 resulting from the extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative for the next 120 days at the end of November 2022. MY2022/23 corn production estimates were updated as well.

The forecasts for MY2022/23 rice and corn production remain unchanged from the previous forecasts, as well as corn and wheat import demand.

Market uncertainty and price volatility in international markets led to flour mills importing more wheat in 2021/22 to hold them over in case of future shortages. Therefore, Post revises 2021/22 wheat imports to 11.3 MMT, up 12 percent from its previous estimate of 10.7 MMT.

Warm and dry summer conditions have taken a toll on EU grain production projections, especially in the case of corn. On a positive note, a surge in corn imports originating from Brazil and Ukraine, with the recent four-month extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, have increased predictability of the EU grain market balance.

FAS Moscow decreased its April 2018 total grain production forecast by 13.8 million metric tons (MMT) to 109.9 MMT based on reports of reduced area and cold and rainy conditions in some regions....

On July 4, 2018, the Government of India (GOI) approved a significant increase in the minimum support prices (MSPs) for the kharif (fall harvested) crops for the 2018/19 season.

South Africa’s corn exports are projected to drop to 1 million tons in the 2018/19 MY, as post expects a decrease in commercial production, due to a cut in area planted.

Unexpected weather conditions between April and June led to slightly lower wheat and barley production forecasts, while late spring rain helped the corn crop.

For marketing year (MY) 2018/19, feed consumption is forecast to increase slightly, as the domestic pork industry rebounds and growth continues in the aquaculture sector.