Browse Data and Analysis

Mexico has not officially reported any approvals for genetically engineered (GE) agricultural products for food and feed use since May 2018. Additionally, Mexico has not approved any permit applications for cultivation of GE crop (cotton and alfalfa)...

Planting of India’s rabi season (winter sown, spring harvested) crops, which includes wheat, is progressing well under adequate soil moisture conditions and irrigation water availability. Market year (MY) 2022/2023 rice production is estimated higher...

FAS Manila maintains MY 2022/23 milled rice production at 11.975 million MT, as previously stated conditions such as diminished fertilizer application still hold. FAS Manila estimates rice imports at 3.8 million MT in response to recent trade data. FAS Manila estimates wheat imports at 5.8 million MT because of high prices and industry contacts’ observations that consumers have limited purchasing power.

This report is intended to capture the estimated changes in the trade of major grains for marketing year (MY)2022/23 resulting from the extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative for the next 120 days at the end of November 2022. MY2022/23 corn production estimates were updated as well.

The forecasts for MY2022/23 rice and corn production remain unchanged from the previous forecasts, as well as corn and wheat import demand.

Market uncertainty and price volatility in international markets led to flour mills importing more wheat in 2021/22 to hold them over in case of future shortages. Therefore, Post revises 2021/22 wheat imports to 11.3 MMT, up 12 percent from its previous estimate of 10.7 MMT.

Warm and dry summer conditions have taken a toll on EU grain production projections, especially in the case of corn. On a positive note, a surge in corn imports originating from Brazil and Ukraine, with the recent four-month extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative, have increased predictability of the EU grain market balance.

Production of wheat in MY 2016/17 is forecast to decrease based on lower production area under this crop planted in Autumn 2015.

The Central Bank of Nigeria continues to restrict access to foreign exchange in an effort to reduce rapid spending of U.S. dollars outside of Nigeria.

Post estimates Vietnam’s wheat imports volume in the MY 2015/2016 at 2.60 million tons, an increase of about 300,000 tons compared to MY 2014/2015 imported volume.

Post expects marketing year (MY) 2015/16 Indonesian wheat imports to increase by 1.6 percent to 7.6 million metric tons (MMT), compared to 7.478 MMT in MY 2014/15.

Assuming average weather conditions during the growing season, FAS/Moscow forecasts Russia’s 2016 grain and pulses production at 101 million metric tons (MMT), a 2 percent decrease...