Browse Data and Analysis

Mexico’s 2025 avocado production is forecast at 2.75 million metric tons (MMT), a three percent increase over 2024 on strong export demand. Exports are forecast at 1.34 MMT in 2025, up five percent year-on-year.

Production of blackberries, raspberries, and strawberries is forecast to increase in 2025, driven by export and domestic demand, adequate access to water, improved plant varieties, and modernized agricultural practices.

Mexico is a leading global producer of blueberries, ranking sixth worldwide. Production is forecast at 73,500 metric tons (MT) for calendar year (CY) 2025, representing a nine percent decrease from CY 2024 based on a shortened harvest period.

The 2023 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2023 calendar year.

Mexico’s 2024 avocado production is forecast at 2.77 million metric tons (MMT), a five percent increase over 2023 on strong export demand. Production in 2023 reached 2.65 MMT, up four percent compared to the previous year.

Mexico’s 2024 blueberry production is forecast at 81,000 MT, an eight percent increase over 2023 on sufficient water access and growing export demand. The rate of production growth is projected to be slower in 2024 compared to 2023 due to competition from Peru.

In market year (MY) 2023/24, total citrus production in Mexico is expected down slightly by 1.5 percent versus the previous year, driven primarily by a reduction in fresh lime production. While fresh orange production is projected up fractionally, increasingly erratic conditions such as prolonged drought and high temperatures affected the main producing regions in the current year and reduced harvest quality.

Overall, Mexico’s market year (MY) 2023/24 deciduous fruit production is projected to remain steady year-to-year, with apple production increasing marginally, but from what is already estimated to be a large MY 2022/23 crop.

Assuming normal growing conditions for open-field and shade house cultivation, as well continued greenhouse technology use, Post forecasts Mexico’s 2023 fresh tomato production at 3.87 million metric tons (MMT), a marginal increase over the Government of Mexico’s (GOM) official 2022 production estimate of 3.8 MMT.

The 2022 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2022 calendar year.

The volume of U.S. fresh, dried, and processed fruit exports between 2012/13 and 2021/22 dropped 29 percent to 2.9 million metric tons[1]. However, a 25-percent gain in unit value during this period softened the decrease in value to just 11 percent lower as trade dropped $700 million to $6.0 billion.

Total citrus production in Mexico across oranges, lemons/limes, and grapefruit is expected to decline in market year (MY) 2022/23 due to challenges such as damage to trees from increasingly severe weather conditions over multiple seasons, particularly in Northeastern producing states, and the rising costs of inputs and logistics for producers that is pressuring yields downward.