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Post forecasts 2025 chicken meat imports will be maintained at 190,000 metric tons (MT). Although chicken meat imports have been declining for years due to devaluation of the Angolan currency (kwanza), growing food price inflation, significant limitations on foreign exchange are expected to continue to repress imports, resulting in 2024 and 2025 reflecting the lowest level of consumption since 2016.

Chicken meat production for 2025 is forecast to hit a record after a below average performance the previous year. Most of the anticipated increase in production will go for domestic consumption, which continues to grow since chicken is expected to remain significantly cheaper than beef.

According to a decision by the Ministry of Commerce, chicken meat exports, including whole chicken and its cuts, are limited to a maximum of 10,000 metric tons (MT) per month from May 1-December 31, 2024, and 80,000 MT in total by the end of the year.

The 2023 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2023 calendar year.

Post forecasts 2024 imports will be fall by 4.5 percent to 210,000 metric tons (MT). Since the presidential elections in 2022, Angolan chicken meat imports have been decreasing due to devaluation of the Angolan currency (kwanza) and growing food price inflation.

Since the beginning of 2023, the Turkish Lira (TL) has weakened by around 20 percent against the U.S. dollar. Despite the economic turmoil, demand for chicken meat is relatively stable, even with expected increased poultry market prices in correlation with increasing inflation.

Located on the west coast of southern Africa, Angola borders the four nations of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Republic of the Congo, Namibia, and Zambia. Approximately 10 percent of arable land is used for agriculture, with food production falling short of consumer demand, making Angola reliant on imports to meet its needs.

The 2022 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2022 calendar year.

On March 8, 2023, the Turkish government issued a notice in the Official Gazette to lift the remaining restrictions on exporting certain agricultural products, including red meat, tomatoes, some pulses, and sunflower oil.

As the economic environment in Angola has improved, Angolan chicken meat imports also recovered, increasing 57 percent in 2021. Post expects 2022 imports will show slight year-over-year growth as well. In 2021, Angola was the world’s seventh largest importer of U.S. chicken meat by value ($125 million).

In 2023, chicken meat production in Turkey is estimated to increase 9 percent to 2.68 million metric tons (MMT) due to continuing export demands and slightly higher domestic consumption. In 2023, domestic chicken meat consumption is forecast at 1.7 MMT which is 5 percent higher than 2022 but under sector hopes, mostly due to expected continued high poultry meat prices at retail outlets that are unlikely to change in the lead-up to the 2023 presidential election.