Browse Data and Analysis

Despite ongoing avian influenza outbreaks and increasing competition from imports, strong internal EU demand will drive chicken meat production in 2024.

Ukraine’s chicken meat production continued to recover in 2023, driven by low feed costs and stable energy supplies and macroeconomic environment. Facing lower world market poultry prices in the first three quarters of 2023, Ukrainian poultry producers concentrated on import replacement on the domestic market and exports to the European Union, under the tariff- and quota-free access granted to Ukraine in solidarity after Russia’s full-scale invasion.

The Competition Commission of South Africa, and independent body under the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition announced the launch of a comprehensive market inquiry that will seek to determine if the South African poultry industry is impeding, distorting, or restricting competition in a way that violates the South African Competition Act.

Mexico’s chicken meat production is forecast to exhibit continued growth in 2024 due to increased private investment in the sector. Imports are also forecast to increase, driven by robust domestic demand.

Post’s 2024 forecast for China’s chicken meat production and consumption are modestly down from 2023. Production and consumption are both forecast lower year to year while trade volumes are flat for imports and exports, in comparison to official 2023 data.

Post forecasts Ghana’s MY2024 chicken meat imports at 270,000 metric tons (MT), unchanged from the preceding year’s estimate.

The Togolese government has temporarily banned poultry imports due to high quantities of unsold local chicken on the market.

On January 26, 2024, the Department of Trade, Industry and Competition (DTIC) together with the International Trade Administration (ITAC) announced the decision to implement a 25 percent rebate on bone-in cuts and 30 percent rebate on boneless chicken of imported chicken.

Driven by strong internal demand, EU chicken meat production is expected to grow in 2023 and 2024. In 2024, Poland will be again the largest EU chicken producer, accounting for more than 20 percent of all EU chicken production.

Since the beginning of 2023, the Turkish Lira (TL) has weakened by around 20 percent against the U.S. dollar. Despite the economic turmoil, demand for chicken meat is relatively stable, even with expected increased poultry market prices in correlation with increasing inflation.

FAS Manila forecasts beef imports to remain flat at 200,000 MT Carcass Weight Equivalent (CWE) in 2024 because of low demand for imported beef.

Brazil is the second-largest chicken meat producer in the world after the United States, and the largest chicken meat exporter in the world.