Browse Data and Analysis

On August 13, the Hong Kong Centre for Food Safety (CFS) confirmed to ATO Hong Kong that effective February 14, 2025, the Special Autonomous Region (SAR) of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) will transition from a “systems-based” approach to recognizing foreign meat and poultry establishments to an “establishment or plant-based” registration system.

Ukrainian chicken meat production recovered in 2024 and is expected to continue its slow recovery in 2025, with total production still below the pre-full-scale invasion level. Ukraine’s largest producer, MHP SE, reports stable production at full capacity.

Post’s 2025 forecast for China’s chicken meat production and consumption are up slightly from 2024. Post forecasts chicken imports to decline in 2025 due to increased domestic production and constraints on major supplying countries.

Brazil`s economy is still recovering from the negative impacts of the pandemic on its GDP growth, employment, and most sectors of the economy. For 2023, the Brazilian Central Bank (BCB) forecasts GDP to grow 0.76 percent and 1.5 percent in 2024.

Mexico’s chicken meat production is forecast to increase by three percent in 2023. Although chicken meat is one of the most impacted proteins during Mexico’s inflation crisis, consumption per capita continues to increase, albeit at a slower pace on a year-to-year basis.

The People’s Republic of China decision to end COVID restrictions is expected to bolster economic activity which will facilitate food service business and improve demand for certain chicken meat products in 2023.

Although it initially decreased after the war began, Ukraine’s chicken meat production remained stable in 2022. The production was impacted by significant cost increases predominately associated with more expensive trade logistics and a turbulent macroeconomic environment.

In 2021, the Chilean economy grew by 11.7 percent. Government support programs increased disposable income for many consumers, putting upward pressure on consumption of beef, pork, and chicken.

The poultry sector in Cote d’Ivoire is well established and contributes a substantial amount to the country’s agricultural GDP. Despite many challenges, such as Avian Influenza outbreaks and rising costs of feed and transport, the Ivoirian poultry industry has been able to overcome these challenges with great success.

At the end of January 2023, Romania’s Institute for Diagnosis and Animal Health (IDAH) confirmed one primary and two secondary outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in a commercial turkey operation located in central Romania.