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Ukraine’s chicken meat production is expected to decline by over 8 percent in 2022. The industry is experiencing significant problems with inputs procurement, in-country, and export logistics, domestic consumer base decrease, and labor force shortages.

After two consecutive years of reduced chicken production in 2021 and 2022, Korea’s chicken production is projected to recover by 1.6 percent to 945,000 metric tons (MT) in 2023 due to increased chicken inventory and rising consumer demand.

Post forecasts production at 14.85 million metric tons in 2023, up three percent due to strong external demand and improved domestic consumption, setting a historical record. Consumption for 2023 is forecast at 9.85 million metric tons, growing two percent. Brazil is expected to continue to be the world’s largest exporter of chicken meat and Post forecasts a six percent increase for 2023 totaling 5 million metric tons.

Post forecasts Japan’s 2023 chicken meat production rises marginally and overcomes surging production costs as strong demand for chicken is driven by recovery in the food service industry under a boost from returning international tourism.

On September 21, 2022, Kuwait’s Ministry of Commerce and Industry issued administrative decree number 1895 for the year 2022 adopting a regionalization model to the county level for U.S. outbreaks of Highly Pathogenic Avian influenza (HPAI). The decree lifted a previous ban on all non-heat treated poultry meat (fresh, chilled, frozen, and processed), poultry products and table eggs from 24 U.S. states. The decree also includes changes for other trade partners. An unofficial translation for the decree is included in this report.

FAS Bangkok forecasts that growth in chicken meat production and consumption will be 2-3 percent in 2022 and 2023. The anticipated slow recovery in domestic consumption and high production costs caused by supply disruption on feed grains and day-old chicks will keep the growth rate below the pre-pandemic average annual growth rate.

Post forecasts that chicken meat production will increase by two percent in 2023 as a result of economic recovery, normalization of feed costs, and increased investment by the industry due to anticipated high revenue from market year 2022.

Total meat consumption in Venezuela has declined 68.9 percent since 2013 as a result of the economic collapse. However, a better economic environment since 2019 has led to a stabilization of beef production and significant growth in chicken production. In 2022, beef production is forecast to grow 5 percent from 2021 to 287,803 MT.

In 2023, poultry production is expected to remain stable at 14.3 million metric tons. White feather broilers’ share of overall chicken production is expected to increase, while yellow feather broiler production is expected to decline. In 2023...

Interactive Tableau visualization showing the percentage of exported agricultural production for 25 top commodities.

In 2023, chicken meat production in Turkey is estimated to increase 9 percent to 2.68 million metric tons (MMT) due to continuing export demands and slightly higher domestic consumption. In 2023, domestic chicken meat consumption is forecast at 1.7 MMT which is 5 percent higher than 2022 but under sector hopes, mostly due to expected continued high poultry meat prices at retail outlets that are unlikely to change in the lead-up to the 2023 presidential election.

FAS/Canada projects moderate growth in chicken meat production in 2023, following a challenging year in 2022 due to tight supplies of hatching eggs and day-old chicks, and increased avian influenza occurrence.