Browse Data and Analysis

Thai export rice prices experienced downward pressure and then slightly recovered after Songkran holidays, reflecting tariff changes and adjustments in the global rice market.

FAS Bangkok forecasts stability, with modest growth expected in rice and corn production, supported by favorable weather and strong domestic demand.

For marketing year (MY) 2025/26, Post forecasts lower rice imports than in MY 2024/25, assuming higher production based on favorable weather. Demand for wheat continues to increase and Post forecasts slightly higher imports for MY 2025/26 to align with demand.

All grades of Thai rice have experienced downward pressure on both domestic farm-gate and export prices.

FAS Bangkok forecasts an increase in Thailand's rice and corn production in MY 2024/25 due to acreage expansion and average yield improvement.

Rice export prices dropped from the previous week.

Export prices of most grade of rice dropped from the previous week due to the weakening of the Thai baht, except for fragrant rice prices.

For the marketing year (MY) 2024/25, Post lowers rice harvested area and production to 11.4 million hectares and 36.6 million metric tons (MT), respectively, due to an estimated loss of around 300,000 hectares of aman season rice from two consecutive floods in August and October 2024.

Export prices rose one percent from the previous week. Thai rice exports during January to October 2024 were up 20 percent from the same period last year.

Export prices rose from the previous week due to the strengthening of the Thai baht and demand for new-crop rice supplies ahead of the holidays.

FAS Bangkok forecasts Thailand’s rice and corn production to increase in MY 2024/25 in response to improvement in average yield due to higher water supplies, compared to MY 2023/24.

Export prices rose 1-3 percent from the previous week as the Thai baht strengthened and exporters continued to secure the rice supplies to fulfill contract shipments.