Browse Data and Analysis

Prospects for winter grain crops in Bulgaria are currently optimistic due to favorable weather and larger planted area.

The United Kingdom (UK) is forecast to have a significant increase in grain crop production in Marketing Year (MY) 2025/26. This is largely driven by a partial recovery in wheat production following a particularly low level of production in MY 2024/25.

Major bulk commodities, as a share of total U.S. agricultural exports, have risen and fallen dramatically since 2020. Beyond short-term price volatilities that have largely driven these developments, changes to the largest overseas market and an increasingly competitive landscape also affect the prospect for major U.S. bulk exports.

Post doe snot anticipate major changes to forecast and estimate for Algeria's cereal production. Post anticipates that Algeria's wheat imports will surpass nine million metric tons (MMT) next season.

On December 22, 2023, President Ferdinand Marcos, Jr. signed Executive Order No. 50 (EO 50) extending lower tariffs on pork, corn, and rice for another year or until December 31, 2024. EO 50 was published on December 26, 2023, and took effect immediately upon publication.

Rice export prices increased 1- 4 percent mainly due to the strengthening of the Thai baht.

On November 14, 2023, Statistics Korea (KOSTAT) released its final estimate of 2023 rice production at 3.7 million metric tons (MMT), up an additional 0.5 percent from the initial rice production estimates released in early October and down 1.6 percent overall from the prior year.

FAS Manila maintains its September 2023 forecast for rice and corn production and imports, but lowers its forecast slightly for wheat imports to 6.0 million metric tons.

Post slightly lowers the MY 2023/24 rice production forecast due to some minor aman season crop damage caused by a cyclone. Despite the reduced production, Post lowers the rice import forecast to 500 thousand MT, as the Government of Bangladesh maintains its high rice import tariff of 62.5 percent.

Rice export prices increased 1-2 percent due to the strong demand for Thai rice and the strengthening of the Thai baht.

No significant changes are made to 2023/24 rice and wheat supply and demand forecasts. Private sector wheat import commitments of about 1.4 million tons underpin the 2 million ton 2023/24 wheat import forecast.

The steady demand for Thai rice from ASEAN countries slightly boosted rice export prices and offset the weakening of the Thai baht.