India: Coffee Annual

FAS Mumbai forecasts marketing year (MY) 2025/26 coffee production (Oct/Sep) at six million 60-kilogram bags. A dry spell during January and February, followed by strong winds and excessive pre-monsoon rains in March and May, is expected to negatively impact yields. Farmgate prices of both Arabica and Robusta have risen by 64 percent and 24 percent since October, driven higher by global supply pressures, tight stocks, and lower projected output due to inclement weather. Domestic consumption is expected to increase to 1.4 million 60-kilogram bags on strong demand for soluble coffee. This rise in domestic consumption will help offset a decline in exports, which are projected to fall to six million 60-kilogram bags due to a lower exportable surplus.