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With improved weather conditions, wheat, barley, and rice production are forecast to increase in MY 2022/23. In contrast, corn production is forecast down as farmers switch to other more profitable crops. Overall grain production in MY 2022/23 will be influenced by rising input costs, which the Turkish government is trying to offset with higher support payments for fertilizer and diesel.
The prospects for MY2022/23 winter grain crops remain favorable due to the relatively mild winter, sufficient soil moisture reserves, and snow cover. Higher input costs, however, may have a negative impact on the average yields due to expected lower application of inputs.
The Turkish government continues its efforts to rein in inflation, which was made worse in recent months by the steep depreciation of the Turkish Lira against the US dollar and drought-related grain production losses in MY 2021/22.
Rainfall was scarce for most of the winter in the main grain growing regions in Turkey. In MY 2021/22, total wheat planting area is projected down to 7.05 million hectares, with total production at 17.6 million metric tons (MMT).
Turkey’s MY 2020/21 corn production is estimated at 7.1 MMT, an increase of 1.1 MMT compared to last marketing year.
At just over 299 MMT, the total MY2020/21 EU grain crop is nearly 450,000 MT higher than the previous forecast, with a near 2 MMT lowering of corn production more than offset by higher mixed grain...
The MY 2020/21 wheat import forecast remains unchanged at 4 MMT. 2020/21 corn consumption projections are revised up to 12 MMT, consisting of 9.7 MMT for feed purposes and 2.3 MMT for food, seed...
Turkey’s marketing year (MY) 2020/21 corn planting area is expected to be about 620,000 hectares (ha) and production will total 7 million metric tons (MMT).
The spring planting in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) is ongoing and the weather and soil conditions are reportedly good.
The EU’s grain harvest in MY2020/21 is forecast to decline over 11MMT to 304 MMT, in large part due to extremely challenging planting conditions in the UK and France.
In marketing year (MY) 2019/20, Bulgaria’s total grain harvest was 8.5 percent above MY 2018/19, including almost 4.0 million metric tons (MMT) of corn, a production record.
On April 9, the Government of Romania (GOR) suspended most exports of grains, oilseeds, and related products as of April 10, 2020, to non-European Union (EU) markets.