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Indonesia, the largest economy in Southeast Asia, was the 11th largest market for U.S. agricultural exports in 2021 valued at $24.5 billion. Indonesia is party to 14 Free Trade Agreements (FTA), creating tough competition for U.S. agricultural exports. Indonesia’s major FTA partners (i.e., Australia, New Zealand, China, etc.) also benefit from proximity.

Rice export prices decreased 3-5 percent due to the weakening of the Thai baht.

Executive Order #171, Series of 2022, modifies market access for MFN tariffs on corn and rice through December 31, 2021, necessitating changes to Post’s corn and wheat balance sheets but not rice.

Post forecasts Burmese rice exports lower in June due to reduced supplies in the domestic market and higher domestic prices. The Burmese government continues making changes to its trade and foreign exchange rate policies that are impeding trade.

Rice export prices decreased due to the weakening of the Thai baht.

FAS Manila maintains 2022 pork production while increasing imports 25,000 MT to 400,000 MT, reflecting improved market access conditions. No changes are made to the chicken PSD.

Thailand doubled its target to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in COP26. The Thai government has yet to finalize the new biofuel consumption targets. Biofuel consumption in 2021 and 2022 is still far below current targets due to the prolonged outbreak of COVID-19 and the slow economic recovery after the pandemic caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Rice export prices decreased one percent due to the weakening of the Thai baht.

Post expects MY2022/23 rice production to recover from MY2021/22 due to available water supply and abundant precipitation. MY2021/22 and MY2022/23 feed wheat imports could benefit from the temporary removal of restrictive import measures from May 10 to July 31, 2022.

Rice export prices remain unchanged despite the weakening of the Thai baht.

The Philippines is the eighth largest market for U.S. agricultural exports and the top market in Southeast Asia. Already a longstanding and reliable trading partner, the Philippines continues to offer many opportunities for exporters because of its young and growing population and rising household income.

Burma’s aquaculture production and export in MY 2021/22 will remain flat as COVID-19 restrictions and the military coup continue to dampen the economy. Post anticipates lower U.S. soybean meal (SBM) and distiller’s dried grain with solubles (DDGS) exports to Burma in MY 2021/22 in line with slower aquaculture development and changes in foreign currency controls.