Browse Data and Analysis

The People’s Republic of China (PRC), State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) and Standardization Administration have published the final version of National Standard for Soybeans (GB1352-2023), which will take effect on December 1, 2023.

Soybean imports are raised to a record 101 million metric tons (MMT) in marketing year (MY) 22/23 on surging imports, which reached 84.3 MMT through July.

Soybean imports are increased to 98 million metric tons (MMT) and 98.5 MMT in marketing year (MY) 22/23 and MY 23/24, respectively, on rebounding soybean meal (SBM) and soybean oil demand.

During a national oilseeds conference, industry representatives noted that domestic oilseed production increased from 2.5 million hectares in 2020 to 3.4. million hectares in 2022, and they further expect production to reach 5 million hectares by 2027.

The 2022 U.S. Agricultural Export Yearbook provides a statistical summary of U.S. agricultural commodity exports to the world during the 2022 calendar year.

Modest growth in the animal protein sector is expected to raise China’s soybean imports to 97 million metric tons (MMT) in Marketing Year (MY) 23/24. The People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) removal of COVID-related restriction in December 2022 is expected to boost overall oilseed consumption.

U.S. agricultural exports to China in fiscal year (FY) 2022 were $36.4 billion and surpassed the previous year’s record with China as the largest export market for the second consecutive year. Significantly higher agricultural prices and resilient demand helped drive exports above the previous year’s record despite lower volumes for most products.

FY2022 agricultural exports reach record levels.

China’s marketing year (MY) 22/23 soybean production is forecast to reach a near-record 19 million metric tons (MMT) on higher yields. Post maintains forecasted MY 22/23 soybean imports at 96.5 MMT on higher demand for soybean meal (SBM) for swine and poultry and vegetable oil demand for food sector use. Import growth is forecast to be partially constrained by higher domestic soybean production, ongoing sales of state reserve soybeans, and ongoing uncertainty regarding People’s Republic of China (PRC) COVID restrictions.

China’s slowing economy and COVID-related restrictions continue to weaken demand for oilseeds for feed and food use. Soybean imports for marketing year (MY) 21/22 and MY 22/23 are revised downward to 92 million metric tons (MMT) and 96.5 MMT, respectively, on weak demand for vegetable oil in the food service sector and soybean meal (SBM) in the swine and poultry sectors.

Soybean imports for marketing year (MY) 21/22 are revised downward to 94 million metric tons (MMT) due to slower economic growth, high prices, and COVID-related restrictions depressing meal and vegetable oil consumption. Soybean production for MY 22/23 is forecast higher at 18.4 MMT on expanded planted area supported by high prices and government incentives.

On June 8, 2022, China’s National Crop Variety Registration Committee (NCVRC) published “National Registration Standards for Genetically Engineered Soybean Varieties (Trial)” and “National Registration Standards for Genetically Engineered Corn...