Browse Data and Analysis

Rice import for MY 2022/23 is forecast to increase by 12 percent as political campaigns and electoral activities leading up to the general election in 2023 gear up. A 4 percent marginal increase in wheat imports is envisioned as the Russia/Ukraine crisis prolongs. High flour mill operating costs will negatively impact the price of flour.

Imported wheat ensures Nigeria food security amid a growing population since domestic production remains minimal.

In 2021, Nigeria is expected to face decreases in grain supplies due to conflict and economic factors exacerbated by the secondary effects of COVID-19. Internal security across the country is a serious challenge to food production especially in the corn belt.

Nigeria will rely on imports to meet its national requirements for grains (especially, wheat, corn, rice) in MY2020/21.

Milled rice production for MY 2020/21 is projected at 1.4 million metric tons (MMT). Post projects MY 2020/21 imports at 1.3 MMT, unchanged from the MY 2019/20 estimate.

FAS Lagos (Post) forecasts Nigeria’s wheat imports in MY 2019/20 at 5.6 MMT, up almost 4 percent compared to MY 2018/19 based on growing food, seed and industrial (FSI) usage.

Milled rice production for MY 2019/20 is projected at 1.4 million metric tons (MMT). Post projects MY 2019/20 imports at 1.5 MMT, a new record.

Nigeria’s MY2018/19 wheat consumption is projected at 5 million tons, a 5 percent increase over last year’s.

Ghana is a net importer of both rice and wheat. Post estimates Ghana’s rice imports in 2017/18 at 550,000 MT, down slightly year-to-year due to growing domestic production.

Nigeria’s wheat consumption continues to increase as prices of other major locally grown staples remain higher than those for wheat products.

As millions of east African smallholder farmers seek to recover from a devastating drought, they face a new threat-fall armyworms.

Post's combined estimates of Nigeria's MY2017/18 production for wheat, rice, corn and sorghum is set at about 16.3 million tons, representing a slight drop from the current MY2016/17 estimate....