Growing conditions on the North China Plain
deteriorated when the worst spring drought in 20 years developed
across northern China, stressing filling/maturing winter wheat
and germinating/ emerging corn. While continued dry weather would
assist the wheat harvest and limit post-season crop losses, it
would also drive corn yield prospects lower. On the other hand,
corn yield prospects could improve if seasonable rains arrive in
mid-June through August.
As a result of the dry and hot weather from late April through early June, China's 2001/02 corn output is projected at 115.0 million tons, down 10.0 million or 8 percent from last month, but still up 8 percent from last year's poor crop. The production forecast for wheat in 2001/02 was lowered to 96.0 million tons, down 8 million or 8 percent from last month and down 4 percent from last year's downward-revised crop.
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