World cotton production for 2000/01 is projected at 87.4 million bales, 0.7 million higher than the 86.6 million estimated for 1999/2000. Estimated production in the United States is increased to 19.3 million bales from 17.0 million last season, as area is up nearly 0.5 million hectares on higher international prices over the past six months. Also, U.S. yield potential is up on favorable weather events from California to Texas offsetting the drought in the Southeast. This estimate assumes historical average area abandonment from 6 to 8 percent. Production in China is about flat at 17.5 million bales as high domestic prices hold production despite government policy to reduce area for cotton. The production outlook in other major cotton producers is mixed.
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