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WORLD DEVELOPMENTS
Guatemala: Tobacco area planted is forecast to increase by 5 percent in 2002 as compared to 2001 because of increased demand in foreign markets. Leaf production is estimated to reach 20,540 tons in 2002 as compared to 19,562 tons in 2001. Leaf exports are expected to increase by 3 percent in 2002 from the previous year. GT2009
Pakistan: Leaf production is estimated to total 93,400 metric tons in 2002 as compared to 82,854 tons in 2001. This 13-percent increase is due to manufacturers replenishing leaf stocks. Stocks totaled 51,159 tons in 2001, down 14 percent in 2000. PK2008.
Thailand: Burley leaf production in 2002, which accounts for 55 percent of total leaf production, is estimated to total 30,000 metric tons, up 11 percent from the previous year. Favorable prices for burley in the previous season encouraged farmers to expand production. Area planted for 2002 is expected to increase by 8 percent from 2001. In addition, trade sources reported that the quality of burley improved relative to previous season because of nearly perfect climatic conditions. TH2043.
India: Leaf production is forecast at 635,000 metric tons in 2002, up 8 percent from 2001. The 8-percent increase is due to a production restriction ending in the Andhra Pradesh province. Flue-cured leaf, which accounts for 24 percent of total leaf output, is projected at 155,000 tons, double the level from 2001. Leaf ending stocks in 2002 are expected to fall nearly 7 percent due to increased demand for cigarette production and higher leaf sales abroad.
China: The Chinese government has revised procurement pricing and quotas in order to reduce tobacco production. Tobacco prices for lower grade tobaccos dropped sharper than for Grade “A” tobacco. Because of these revised prices, leaf production fell by 7.9 percent in 2001 and is forecast to fall another 1 percent in 2002. CH2017
Turkey: Turkish leaf exports continue to drop due to decrease sales to Western Europe and the Former Soviet Union. Oriental exports in 2002 are forecast at 487,600 metric tons compared to 517,960 tons in 2001. The Government of Turkey implemented policies (quotas and disposing excess tobacco) in order to keep stocks at manageable levels. Oriental production in 2002 is expected to drop by 22 percent and total 154,626 tons. Stocks levels in 2002 are estimated to fall by 6.5 percent from 2001. TU2021
Japan: Despite a growing anti-smoking trend, domestic cigarette use in 2002 is expected to increase marginally from the previous year. Cigarette production in 2002 is forecast at 24 billion pieces, up slightly from 2001. Japan is both a top exporter and importer of cigarettes. Cigarette exports in 2002 are expected to total 25 billion pieces, up 21 percent from 2001. Principle export markets were Taiwan, South Korea, and Singapore. JA2018
Croatia: Cigarette prodution is projected to reach around 15 billion pieces in 2002 due to increased cigarette sales abroad. Leaf production is forecast at 14,961 metric tons, up 11 percent from 2001. HR2005
Mexico: Burley production is forecast to drop 33 percent in 2002 due to a decline in domestic utilization. Cigarette production is expected to remain flat because of increased retail prices and heightened health concerns. MX2039
U.S. DEVELOPMENTS
USDA Announces Provisions of the 2002-Crop Certain Kinds of Tobacco: The U.S. Department of Agriculture announced acreage allotments and the Commodity Credit Corporation price support levels for five kinds of tobacco for the 2002 marketing year. FSA PR#1458
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