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October 25, 2001
The graphs below show the distribution of rainfall from August through October in the five main wheat-producing provinces in China. These provinces (Hebei, Shandong, Henan, Anhui and Jiangsu) account for almost 70 percent of China's total wheat output.
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| Hebei Province - Rainfall was close to normal in August and October but below normal in September. Light showers in early and late October improved moisture conditions for winter wheat emergence, but sub-surface moisture supplies remain very low. Total rainfall for the period is lower than 1999, 2000, and normal. |
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| Henan Province - Seasonal rainfall is less than 50 percent of normal and much lower than 1999 and 2000. Recent showers (since October 24) have provided limited relief. Rainfall in Fall 2000 was nearly ideal for planting and germination, but very dry weather in spring 2001 resulted in lower than expected yields. |
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| Shandong Province - Below-normal rainfall since early August has depleted moisture reserves and stressed newly-planted crops. Shandong was missed by the late-October showers which improved conditions in Hebei and Henan. Moisture conditions were much more favorable in 1999 and 2000. |
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| Anhui and Jiangsu provinces - Wet weather in August was followed by unusually warm and dry weather in September and October. Soil moisture was seriously depleted and conditions became unfavorably dry for winter crop planting and emergence. Excessive rainfall in 1999 and 2000 caused planting delays. |
For more information, contact Paulette Sandene with the Production Estimates and Crop Assessment Division on (202) 690-0133.
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