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Situation and Outlook - December 2002

World oilseed production for 2002/03 is projected to total 321.7 million tons, up slightly from last month’s projection, due to increases in rapeseed, sunflowerseed, and palm kernel production that offset decreases in cottonseed, peanut, and copra production.  Estimates for 2002/03 sunflowerseed production in Eastern Europe increased 50,000 tons this month to 2.6 million tons.  Likewise, a 280,000-ton increase in Canada’s rapeseed production more than offsets the 100,000 ton expected decrease in Australia’s rapeseed production. 

World exports of oilseeds for 2002/03 were raised this month to 72.0 million tons, mainly due to a 272,000 ton increase in U.S. soybean exports.  Minor downward revisions in cottonseed and copra exports offset upward revisions in peanut, sunflowerseed, and rapeseed exports.

Production estimates for major vegetable oils also rose slightly this month to 92.2 million tons, mainly due to a 300,000-ton increase in Indonesia’s palm oil production forecast.  Much of the increase in global palm oil supply is forecast to be imported by Russia and Hong Kong.  Global exports of total edible oils, however, remained fairly constant from last month’s estimate, with small decreases in the estimates for soybean oil and coconut oil exports offsetting the increase in palm oil exports.  

Estimates for 2002/03 global ending stocks of oilseed, protein meal, and edible oils remain fairly close to last month’s estimates, as nearly all of the production increases were either consumed domestically or exported for consumption abroad. 

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Foreign Developments

For additional information pertaining to the summary above and other noteworthy developments within the oilseeds complex see the reports below. All reports are in Adobe Acrobat format (.pdf) unless otherwise noted. These reports, along with others, may also be obtained in both Adobe Acrobat (.pdf) and WordPerfect format (.wpd) by going directly to the Attaché Report section of the FAS homepage at http://www.fas.usda.gov/

Dec 4, 2002 | India | Oilseeds and Products - December Update 

Dec 5, 2002 | France | Oilseeds Update

Nov 29, 2002 | Malaysia | Oilseeds and Products November Update

Nov 29, 2002 | Turkey | Soybeans and Products Update

Nov 29, 2002 | Argentina | Oilseeds and Products Exports - September 2002

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Last modified: Tuesday, September 14, 2004