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October 1997
This report draws on information from USDA's global network of agricultural attaches and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments, other foreign source materials, and results of office analysis. Estimates of U.S. acreage, yield, and production are from the USDA's Agricultural Statistics Board, except where noted. This report is based on unrounded data; numbers may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-331), October 10, 1997.
This report was prepared by the Cotton, Oilseeds, Tobacco and Seeds Division, FAS. Room 5632. 14th and Independence Ave. Washington DC 20250-1050. Further information may be obtained by writing to the division, by calling (202) 720-7037, or by FAX (202) 720-7670.
The next issue of the Oilseeds and Products circular will be available electronically after 3:30 PM EDT (local Time) on November 12, 1997.
Summary
U.S. oilseed production for 1997 is projected at a record 84.2 million tons, down 0.6 million tons from last month but up nearly 9 million tons above 1996. Smaller soybean and peanut crops account for the drop as yields in the Southeast were curtailed by dry growing conditions. U.S. soybean production is forecast at a record high 74.1 million tons or 2.7 billion bushels with estimated yields of 39 bushels per acre (2.6 tons/ha), second only to the record 41.4 bushels in 1994/95. Soybean supplies of 77.8 million tons (2.9 billion bushels) are little changed from a month ago, reflecting larger beginning stocks of 132 million bushels.
U.S. soybean crush prospects for 1997/98 are unchanged this month while soybean export prospects are increased slightly to 26.1 million tons, based mostly on slightly larger imports by Argentina. At the same time, U.S. soybean meal export prospects are cut to 6.7 million tons as additional soybean meal exports by both Argentina and India more than offset increased use and imports by China. China's soybean meal imports are increased for both 1996/97 and 1997/98, to 3.3 and 4.0 million tons, respectively. Domestic U.S. soybean meal use is increased this month for both old crop and new crop. In perhaps the most significant change this month, global vegetable oil stocks are projected at the lowest levels since 1994/95. The United States accounts for roughly 15 percent of total world oil stocks and 32 percent of world soybean oil stocks, both up slightly from last season. Global demand for oils remains strong, particularly in the United States and China, and with supply growth for oils other than soybean oil projected to slow in 1997/98, prospects for soybean oil are considerably improved. China's soybean oil imports are increased for 1996/97 and 1997/98, to 1.65 and 1.75 million metric tons, respectively.
Season-average farm prices for U.S. soybeans are forecast at $5.75 to $6.85 per bushel, up slightly from last month. Soybean meal prices are forecast at $195 to $225 per short ton while soybean oil prices are raised to 23.0 to 26.0 cents per pound.
World oilseed production is forecast 0.9 million tons higher this month at 276.4 million tons, and with increased consumption prospects, oilseed and vegetable oil stocks are reduced. Foreign oilseed production, at 192.3 million tons, is up 1.6 million tons from last month. India's soybean crop is increased to a record 5.0 million tons, up 0.5 million, as timely rains helped yields. Better-than-expected yields also were a factor in higher rapeseed and sunflowerseed production estimates for the EU and Eastern Europe.
TABLE 1.
MAJOR OILSEEDS: WORLD SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(MILLION METRIC TONS)
PRELIM SEP OCT
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1997/98
PRODUCTION
SOYBEAN 117.75 137.65 124.44 131.36 147.40 147.24
COTTONSEED 29.49 32.90 35.63 34.10 34.41 34.84
PEANUT 23.98 26.46 26.28 26.65 24.58 24.51
SUNFLOWERSEED 20.77 23.40 25.76 23.72 24.97 25.30
RAPESEED 26.72 30.29 34.61 30.63 33.20 33.64
COPRA 4.97 5.48 5.03 5.40 5.46 5.46
PALM KERNEL 4.25 4.62 4.97 5.34 5.50 5.45
TOTAL 227.94 260.81 256.71 257.19 275.51 276.44
EXPORTS
SOYBEAN 28.18 32.16 31.95 35.98 38.30 38.57
COTTONSEED 0.91 1.03 0.94 0.80 0.95 0.95
PEANUT 1.49 1.60 1.78 1.52 1.52 1.50
SUNFLOWERSEED 2.57 3.19 3.77 2.74 3.67 3.69
RAPESEED 5.28 5.85 5.84 5.41 5.43 5.58
COPRA 0.24 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.21
PALM KERNEL 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
TOTAL 38.73 44.11 44.54 46.72 50.15 50.56
IMPORTS
SOYBEAN 28.37 32.81 32.08 36.25 38.29 38.59
COTTONSEED 0.89 1.04 0.89 0.87 0.90 0.90
PEANUT 1.44 1.53 1.54 1.47 1.57 1.52
SUNFLOWERSEED 2.51 3.14 3.72 2.81 3.56 3.59
RAPESEED 5.20 5.91 5.64 5.47 5.50 5.54
COPRA 0.26 0.24 0.22 0.24 0.24 0.24
PALM KERNEL 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.05
TOTAL 38.69 44.72 44.13 47.18 50.11 50.43
CRUSH
SOYBEAN 102.07 109.83 112.12 115.92 120.60 121.41
COTTONSEED 22.98 25.26 28.32 26.39 26.44 26.70
PEANUT 12.84 14.42 14.06 14.59 13.05 12.95
SUNFLOWERSEED 17.99 20.59 22.48 21.87 22.55 22.73
RAPESEED 24.34 27.16 30.62 28.52 29.72 30.32
COPRA 4.95 5.50 4.97 5.40 5.46 5.46
PALM KERNEL 4.26 4.51 4.94 5.28 5.43 5.38
TOTAL 189.43 207.26 217.51 217.95 223.25 224.94
ENDING STOCKS
SOYBEAN 17.34 23.70 16.72 12.77 18.68 18.16
COTTONSEED 0.53 0.63 0.59 0.57 0.50 0.52
PEANUT 0.61 0.75 0.55 0.50 0.51 0.49
SUNFLOWERSEED 0.79 0.94 1.54 1.14 1.04 1.09
RAPESEED 0.80 0.97 1.61 0.95 1.06 1.09
COPRA 0.11 0.08 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.09
PALM KERNEL 0.12 0.18 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.19
TOTAL 20.30 27.24 21.29 16.18 22.06 21.64
NOTE: TOTALS MAY NOT ADD DUE TO ROUNDING.
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 2.
MAJOR PROTEIN MEALS: WORLD SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(MILLION METRIC TONS)
PRELIM SEP OCT
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1997/98
PRODUCTION
SOYBEAN 81.27 87.17 89.15 92.31 96.09 96.70
COTTONSEED 10.67 11.74 13.21 12.42 12.29 12.36
RAPESEED 14.81 16.48 18.61 17.38 18.03 18.27
SUNFLOWERSEED 8.36 9.50 10.03 9.87 10.02 10.08
FISH 7.11 6.69 6.37 6.68 6.36 6.36
PEANUT 5.24 5.88 5.73 5.94 5.32 5.28
COPRA 1.68 1.88 1.70 1.83 1.86 1.86
PALM KERNEL 2.25 2.39 2.60 2.78 2.86 2.86
TOTAL 131.39 141.75 147.39 149.22 152.83 153.77
EXPORTS
SOYBEAN 29.95 30.92 33.77 33.90 34.99 35.21
COTTONSEED 1.13 1.10 1.11 0.82 0.87 0.90
RAPESEED 3.36 3.55 4.30 4.16 4.19 4.19
SUNFLOWERSEED 2.14 2.80 2.92 2.94 2.96 2.96
FISH 4.34 4.40 3.85 4.29 3.93 3.93
PEANUT 0.85 0.63 0.60 0.55 0.54 0.54
COPRA 1.01 1.30 0.99 1.09 1.11 1.11
PALM KERNEL 1.90 2.05 2.20 2.35 2.39 2.39
TOTAL 44.67 46.74 49.74 50.08 50.99 51.23
IMPORTS
SOYBEAN 29.26 31.25 32.71 33.73 35.01 35.26
COTTONSEED 1.14 1.04 1.03 0.83 0.83 0.83
RAPESEED 3.43 3.81 3.88 3.87 4.10 4.14
SUNFLOWERSEED 2.14 2.68 2.86 2.93 2.90 2.90
FISH 4.35 4.22 4.05 4.20 3.90 3.90
PEANUT 0.78 0.64 0.54 0.55 0.57 0.54
COPRA 1.01 1.16 1.04 1.03 1.08 1.08
PALM KERNEL 1.83 1.92 1.99 2.17 2.33 2.33
TOTAL 43.93 46.71 48.10 49.31 50.72 50.98
CONSUMPTION
SOYBEAN 80.72 87.08 88.14 92.36 96.19 96.83
COTTONSEED 10.70 11.69 13.09 12.45 12.23 12.28
RAPESEED 14.89 16.60 18.09 17.20 17.93 18.19
SUNFLOWERSEED 8.41 9.26 9.83 9.92 10.04 10.10
FISH 6.92 6.37 6.55 6.77 6.44 6.44
PEANUT 5.18 5.92 5.68 5.94 5.34 5.28
COPRA 1.63 1.82 1.74 1.79 1.83 1.83
PALM KERNEL 2.17 2.25 2.40 2.58 2.78 2.78
TOTAL 130.62 141.00 145.52 149.00 152.79 153.74
ENDING STOCKS
SOYBEAN 3.95 4.37 4.34 4.14 3.99 4.05
COTTONSEED 0.15 0.15 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17
RAPESEED 0.48 0.62 0.71 0.60 0.61 0.63
SUNFLOWERSEED 0.21 0.32 0.46 0.41 0.33 0.34
FISH 0.85 0.99 1.02 0.84 0.74 0.74
PEANUT 0.07 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
COPRA 0.16 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.06
PALM KERNEL 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.27 0.28 0.28
TOTAL 6.10 6.82 7.07 6.52 6.22 6.30
NOTE: TOTALS MAY NOT ADD DUE TO ROUNDING.
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 3.
MAJOR VEGETABLE AND MARINE OILS: WORLD SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(MILLION METRIC TONS)
PRELIM SEP OCT
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1997/98
PRODUCTION
SOYBEAN 18.25 19.70 20.17 20.72 21.67 21.82
PALM 13.74 14.89 16.01 17.13 17.50 17.60
SUNFLOWERSEED 7.08 8.20 8.95 8.65 8.83 8.90
RAPESEED 9.03 10.09 11.39 10.53 10.91 11.13
COTTONSEED 3.38 3.73 4.11 3.86 3.83 3.85
PEANUT 3.67 4.14 4.12 4.31 3.92 3.89
COCONUT 3.09 3.43 3.09 3.35 3.39 3.39
OLIVE 1.76 1.77 1.44 2.24 1.99 2.00
FISH 1.52 1.41 1.39 1.45 1.36 1.36
PALM KERNEL 1.88 2.00 2.17 2.33 2.39 2.39
TOTAL 63.39 69.35 72.86 74.56 75.79 76.32
EXPORTS
SOYBEAN 4.85 5.92 5.29 5.91 6.02 6.19
PALM 1/ 9.93 9.71 9.89 10.61 10.67 10.77
SUNFLOWERSEED 2.33 3.45 3.13 3.31 3.44 3.46
RAPESEED 2.23 2.64 2.62 2.25 2.58 2.59
COTTONSEED 0.50 0.59 0.53 0.49 0.50 0.51
PEANUT 0.29 0.24 0.29 0.20 0.22 0.21
COCONUT 1.50 1.83 1.62 1.70 1.71 1.71
OLIVE 0.75 0.74 0.69 0.82 0.81 0.81
FISH 0.95 1.06 0.87 0.90 0.83 0.83
PALM KERNEL 0.93 0.84 0.93 1.01 0.99 0.99
TOTAL 24.25 27.03 25.86 27.18 27.76 28.06
IMPORTS
SOYBEAN 4.74 6.10 5.13 5.84 6.13 6.28
PALM 1/ 9.68 9.65 9.48 10.28 10.63 10.68
SUNFLOWERSEED 2.39 3.32 3.15 3.09 3.44 3.44
RAPESEED 2.21 2.77 2.36 2.40 2.57 2.57
COTTONSEED 0.46 0.54 0.52 0.49 0.51 0.51
PEANUT 0.30 0.29 0.30 0.22 0.27 0.23
COCONUT 1.39 1.77 1.51 1.58 1.59 1.59
OLIVE 0.75 0.77 0.63 0.78 0.76 0.76
FISH 0.76 0.90 0.81 0.80 0.80 0.80
PALM KERNEL 0.94 0.82 0.83 0.92 0.97 0.97
TOTAL 23.61 26.92 24.71 26.40 27.66 27.81
CONSUMPTION
SOYBEAN 18.42 19.46 19.64 20.87 21.76 21.99
PALM 13.95 14.72 15.38 16.66 17.58 17.63
SUNFLOWERSEED 7.24 8.04 8.59 8.78 8.98 9.01
RAPESEED 9.01 10.35 11.08 10.72 10.91 11.11
COTTONSEED 3.32 3.68 4.09 3.89 3.84 3.85
PEANUT 3.70 4.18 4.10 4.34 3.97 3.91
COCONUT 2.92 3.37 3.07 3.17 3.27 3.27
OLIVE 1.88 1.88 1.66 1.90 2.01 2.01
FISH 1.20 1.27 1.33 1.35 1.33 1.33
PALM KERNEL 1.96 1.95 2.02 2.23 2.35 2.35
TOTAL 63.60 68.90 70.94 73.92 75.99 76.47
ENDING STOCKS
SOYBEAN 1.72 2.14 2.51 2.30 2.39 2.22
PALM 1.25 1.35 1.58 1.71 1.59 1.59
SUNFLOWERSEED 0.72 0.74 1.16 0.81 0.69 0.68
RAPESEED 0.43 0.30 0.36 0.32 0.31 0.32
COTTONSEED 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.10 0.10 0.10
PEANUT 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.05 0.04
COCONUT 0.31 0.31 0.22 0.28 0.28 0.28
OLIVE 0.87 0.79 0.51 0.80 0.73 0.73
FISH 0.40 0.38 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.39
PALM KERNEL 0.15 0.17 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.25
TOTAL 6.00 6.33 7.14 6.99 6.78 6.59
NOTE: TOTALS MAY NOT ADD DUE TO ROUNDING.
1/ PALM OIL TRADE EXCLUDES TRANSSHIPMENTS THROUGH SINGAPORE
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 4
MAJOR OILSEEDS, PROTEIN MEALS, FATS AND OILS:
WORLD PRODUCTION 1/
(MILLION METRIC TONS)
PRELIM SEP OCT
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1997/98
WORLD OILSEEDS:
SOYBEAN 117.75 137.65 124.44 131.36 147.40 147.24
COTTONSEED 29.49 32.90 35.63 34.10 34.41 34.84
PEANUT 23.98 26.46 26.28 26.65 24.58 24.51
SUNFLOWERSEED 20.77 23.40 25.76 23.72 24.97 25.30
RAPESEED 26.72 30.29 34.61 30.63 33.20 33.64
COPRA 4.97 5.48 5.03 5.40 5.46 5.46
PALM KERNEL 4.25 4.62 4.97 5.34 5.50 5.45
TOTAL 227.94 260.81 256.71 257.19 275.51 276.44
PROTEIN MEALS:
SOYBEAN 81.27 87.17 89.15 92.31 96.09 96.70
COTTONSEED 10.67 11.74 13.21 12.42 12.29 12.36
PEANUT 5.24 5.88 5.73 5.94 5.32 5.28
SUNFLOWERSEED 8.36 9.50 10.03 9.87 10.02 10.08
RAPESEED 14.81 16.48 18.61 17.38 18.03 18.27
COPRA 1.68 1.88 1.70 1.83 1.86 1.86
PALM KERNEL 2.25 2.39 2.60 2.78 2.86 2.86
FISH 7.11 6.69 6.37 6.68 6.36 6.36
TOTAL 131.39 141.75 147.39 149.22 152.83 153.77
44% PROTEIN MEAL EQUIVALENT 2/:
SOYBEAN 81.27 87.17 89.15 92.31 96.09 96.70
COTTONSEED 8.64 9.52 10.70 10.06 9.96 10.01
PEANUT 5.89 6.61 6.44 6.68 5.98 5.93
SUNFLOWERSEED 7.90 8.97 9.47 9.32 9.46 9.52
RAPESEED 10.54 11.73 13.24 12.36 12.83 13.00
COPRA 0.76 0.85 0.77 0.83 0.84 0.84
PALM KERNEL 0.80 0.85 0.93 0.99 1.02 1.02
FISH 10.28 9.67 9.20 9.66 9.20 9.20
TOTAL 126.07 135.37 139.89 142.21 145.37 146.22
FATS & OILS
EDIBLE VEGETABLE:
SOYBEAN 18.25 19.70 20.17 20.72 21.67 21.82
COTTONSEED 3.38 3.73 4.11 3.86 3.83 3.85
PEANUT 3.67 4.14 4.12 4.31 3.92 3.89
SUNFLOWERSEED 7.08 8.20 8.95 8.65 8.83 8.90
RAPESEED 9.03 10.09 11.39 10.53 10.91 11.13
OLIVE 1.76 1.77 1.44 2.24 1.99 2.00
COCONUT 3.09 3.43 3.09 3.35 3.39 3.39
PALM KERNEL 1.88 2.00 2.17 2.33 2.39 2.39
PALM 13.74 14.89 16.01 17.13 17.50 17.60
TOTAL 61.87 67.95 71.47 73.12 74.43 74.96
MARINE OILS:
FISH 1.52 1.41 1.39 1.45 1.36 1.36
TOTAL 1.52 1.41 1.39 1.45 1.36 1.36
ANIMAL FATS:
BUTTER
(FAT CONTENT) 3/ 4.25 4.26 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30
TALLOW & GREASE 7.57 7.72 8.00 8.00 8.00 8.00
TOTAL 11.82 11.98 12.29 12.29 12.29 12.29
TOTAL
(FATS & OILS) 75.21 81.34 85.15 86.86 88.08 88.61
1/ SPLIT YEARS INCLUDE NORTH. HEMISPHERE CROPS HARVESTED IN THE
LATE MONTHS OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN COMBINED WITH SOUTHERN
HEMISPHERE AND CERTAIN NORTHERN HEMISPHERE CROPS HARVESTED
IN THE EARLY MONTHS OF THE FOLLOWING YEAR. SOYBEANS,SOYBEAN
MEAL, AND SOYBEAN OIL FOR ARGENTINA AND BRAZIL HAVE BEEN
CONVERTED TO OCT-SEP BASIS. ANIMAL, MARINE AND PALM PRODUCTS
ARE GENERALLY CALENDAR YEAR ESTIMATES FOR THE 2ND YEAR SHOWN
2/ PROTEIN MEAL EQUIV IS CALC ON THE BASIS OF STD PROTEIN CONTENT
3/ BUTTER PROD CONVERTED TO FAT-CONTENT BASIS USING AN 80% FACTOR
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 5.
MAJOR OILSEEDS: 1/
AREA AND PRODUCTION BY MAIN PRODUCERS
AVG 91/92-95/96 PRELIM 1996/97 FORCST 1997/98
AREA 2/ PROD 3/ AREA 2/ PROD 3/ AREA 2/ PROD 3/
SOYBEAN
UNITED STATES 23.96 58.47 25.66 64.84 28.25 74.08
BRAZIL 10.88 23.22 11.80 26.50 12.60 28.00
CHINA 8.21 12.96 7.47 13.22 8.20 13.50
ARGENTINA 5.36 11.97 6.20 11.50 6.50 14.20
EUROPEAN UNION 4/ 0.38 1.12 0.34 1.15 0.43 1.44
PARAGUAY 1.03 1.89 1.20 2.60 1.25 2.70
OTHER 9.28 11.27 10.04 11.55 10.84 13.32
TOTAL 59.10 120.89 62.71 131.36 68.07 147.24
COTTONSEED
CHINA 5.87 8.05 4.72 7.56 4.50 6.85
UNITED STATES 5.36 6.16 5.21 6.48 5.44 6.40
FSU-12 2.82 3.69 2.55 2.78 2.63 3.41
INDIA 7.92 4.52 9.17 5.76 9.00 5.45
PAKISTAN 2.84 3.29 3.20 3.18 3.20 3.50
BRAZIL 1.32 0.86 0.70 0.47 0.90 0.63
OTHER 7.02 6.68 8.21 7.87 8.37 8.60
TOTAL 33.14 33.25 33.75 34.10 34.04 34.84
PEANUT
INDIA 8.22 7.87 8.20 8.20 8.10 8.00
CHINA 3.37 8.11 3.62 10.14 3.60 8.00
UNITED STATES 0.69 1.84 0.56 1.66 0.56 1.59
SENEGAL 0.88 0.70 0.92 0.60 0.83 0.72
SUDAN 0.55 0.39 0.55 0.40 0.55 0.40
BRAZIL 0.09 0.15 0.09 0.15 0.09 0.15
ARGENTINA 0.16 0.27 0.28 0.30 0.29 0.43
SOUTH AFRICA 0.14 0.15 0.10 0.14 0.12 0.17
OTHER 5.47 4.84 5.52 5.06 5.52 5.06
TOTAL 19.57 24.34 19.82 26.65 19.65 24.51
SUNFLOWERSEED
FSU-12 5.26 5.66 6.59 5.21 6.27 6.13
ARGENTINA 2.63 4.45 2.90 5.20 3.30 6.00
EASTERN EUROPE 1.70 2.48 2.13 3.02 1.84 2.76
UNITED STATES 1.13 1.60 1.01 1.63 1.14 1.70
CHINA 0.79 1.36 0.69 1.33 0.80 1.25
EUROPEAN UNION 4/ 2.64 3.77 2.35 3.90 2.28 3.71
OTHER 4.36 3.29 4.30 3.44 4.36 3.74
TOTAL 18.51 22.61 19.96 23.72 19.99 25.30
RAPESEED
CHINA 6.02 7.86 6.73 9.20 6.70 9.40
EUROPEAN UNION 4/ 2.66 7.27 2.65 7.14 2.72 8.44
CANADA 4.26 5.45 3.45 5.06 4.85 6.10
INDIA 6.36 5.64 6.40 6.30 6.40 6.20
EASTERN EUROPE 0.71 1.52 0.68 1.25 0.71 1.37
OTHER 1.42 1.31 1.61 1.68 2.01 2.13
TOTAL 21.43 29.04 21.52 30.63 23.39 33.64
TOTAL OILSEEDS 151.75 230.13 157.76 246.46 165.14 265.53
1/ SPLIT YEAR INCLUDES NORTHERN HEMISPHERE CROPS HARVESTED IN
THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN COMBINED WITH SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE AND
CERTAIN NORTHERN HEMISPHERE CROPS HARVESTED IN THE EARLY
MONTHS OF THE FOLLOWING YEAR.
2/ IN MILLION HECTARES
3/ IN MILLION METRIC TONS.
4/ INCLUDES THE STATISTICS FROM THE FORMER GER. DEM. REP.
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 6
SOYBEANS: WORLD SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(MILLION METRIC TONS)
PRELIM SEP OCT
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1997/98
PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES 50.92 68.49 59.24 64.84 74.73 74.08
BRAZIL 24.70 25.90 23.70 26.50 28.00 28.00
ARGENTINA 12.40 12.50 12.43 11.50 14.20 14.20
CHINA 15.31 16.00 13.50 13.22 13.50 13.50
EUROPEAN UNION 0.81 1.03 0.94 1.15 1.41 1.44
PARAGUAY 1.80 2.20 2.40 2.60 2.70 2.70
OTHER 11.81 11.53 12.23 11.55 12.85 13.32
TOTAL 117.75 137.65 124.44 131.36 147.40 147.24
EXPORTS
UNITED STATES 16.03 22.81 23.17 24.00 25.86 26.13
BRAZIL 5.43 3.57 3.45 8.00 7.35 7.35
ARGENTINA 3.07 2.50 2.09 0.75 1.50 1.50
PARAGUAY 1.20 1.45 1.60 1.65 1.68 1.68
CHINA 1.10 0.39 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.20
OTHER 1.35 1.43 1.42 1.38 1.72 1.72
TOTAL 28.18 32.16 31.95 35.98 38.30 38.57
IMPORTS
EUROPEAN UNION 13.11 16.05 14.24 15.12 15.08 15.08
GERMANY 2.79 2.96 3.21 3.43 3.41 3.41
NETHERLANDS 4.14 4.62 4.20 4.30 4.45 4.45
SPAIN 1.72 2.85 2.34 2.53 2.60 2.60
ITALY 1.17 1.30 0.99 1.05 0.68 0.68
BEL-LUX 1.22 1.37 1.22 1.17 1.23 1.23
PORTUGAL 0.53 0.95 0.68 0.62 0.77 0.77
OTHER W EUROPE 0.29 0.40 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
EASTERN EUROPE 0.28 0.24 0.20 0.20 0.31 0.31
FSU-12 0.10 0.10 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.06
RUSSIA 0.07 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.02 0.02
UKRAINE 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
CHINA 0.13 0.16 0.80 2.20 3.00 3.00
JAPAN 4.86 4.84 4.78 5.00 4.75 4.85
KOREA, REP OF 1.16 1.38 1.42 1.60 1.55 1.55
TAIWAN 2.50 2.60 2.65 2.37 2.50 2.50
INDONESIA 0.71 0.62 0.72 0.80 0.92 0.92
MEXICO 2.20 1.87 2.40 3.06 3.10 3.10
BRAZIL 0.11 1.20 0.80 0.80 2.00 2.00
OTHER 2.94 3.36 3.63 4.73 4.45 4.45
TOTAL 28.37 32.81 32.08 36.25 38.29 38.59
CRUSH
UNITED STATES 34.72 38.24 37.27 39.08 40.69 40.69
LATIN AMERICA 31.90 33.39 36.57 36.62 37.72 37.92
BRAZIL 18.44 20.19 21.57 20.10 20.20 20.20
ARGENTINA 8.77 8.59 10.29 10.95 11.65 11.85
MEXICO 2.64 2.33 2.44 3.08 3.20 3.20
EUROPEAN UNION 12.24 14.43 13.65 14.70 14.74 14.77
OTHER W EUROPE 0.28 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38
FSU-12 0.53 0.43 0.34 0.21 0.18 0.18
EASTERN EUROPE 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.45 0.55 0.55
ASIA 19.56 19.68 20.50 21.17 22.76 23.34
JAPAN 3.70 3.76 3.70 3.81 3.70 3.80
CHINA 7.61 8.09 7.45 8.52 9.60 9.58
TAIWAN 2.24 2.34 2.36 2.07 2.19 2.19
OTHER 2.42 2.87 3.01 3.32 3.58 3.58
TOTAL 102.07 109.83 112.12 115.92 120.60 121.41
ENDING STOCKS
UNITED STATES 5.69 9.11 4.99 3.58 7.76 7.35
BRAZIL 5.46 7.20 5.07 2.90 3.75 3.75
ARGENTINA 3.77 4.67 4.22 3.82 4.72 4.52
OTHER 2.43 2.72 2.44 2.47 2.45 2.55
TOTAL 17.34 23.70 16.72 12.77 18.68 18.16
NOTE: TOTALS MAY NOT ADD DUE TO ROUNDING.
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 7
SOYBEAN MEAL: WORLD SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(MILLION METRIC TONS)
PRELIM SEP OCT
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1996/97 1997/98
PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES 27.68 30.18 29.51 31.03 32.23 32.18
LATIN AMERICA 25.30 26.53 29.17 29.24 30.23 30.39
BRAZIL 14.50 15.87 17.04 15.88 15.96 15.96
ARGENTINA 7.15 7.00 8.38 8.92 9.50 9.66
MEXICO 2.06 1.86 1.95 2.46 2.66 2.66
EUROPEAN UNION 9.85 11.49 10.91 11.71 11.75 11.77
OTHER W EUROPE 0.22 0.30 0.29 0.29 0.29 0.29
EASTERN EUROPE 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.37 0.39 0.39
FSU-12 0.43 0.51 0.26 0.22 0.22 0.22
ASIA 15.55 15.58 16.31 16.84 18.14 18.61
JAPAN 2.85 2.88 2.87 2.94 2.87 2.95
CHINA 6.16 6.55 6.04 6.90 7.78 7.76
TAIWAN 1.75 1.80 1.84 1.61 1.71 1.71
INDIA 2.88 2.20 3.20 2.92 3.20 3.60
OTHER 1.91 2.25 2.36 2.62 2.85 2.85
TOTAL 81.27 87.17 89.15 92.31 96.09 96.70
EXPORTS
UNITED STATES 4.86 6.09 5.45 6.44 6.90 6.71
BRAZIL 10.31 10.45 11.94 10.66 10.65 10.65
ARGENTINA 6.76 6.73 8.22 8.60 9.00 9.15
EUROPEAN UNION 3.85 3.67 4.07 4.15 4.05 4.05
CHINA 1.05 1.28 0.10 0.03 0.03 0.03
INDIA 2.20 1.58 2.60 2.50 2.75 3.00
OTHER 0.92 1.13 1.39 1.52 1.62 1.62
TOTAL 29.95 30.92 33.77 33.90 34.99 35.21
IMPORTS
EUROPEAN UNION 16.47 16.80 15.79 14.98 15.50 15.50
FRANCE 3.80 3.79 3.34 3.30 3.40 3.40
GERMANY 2.12 1.99 1.64 1.60 1.50 1.50
NETHERLANDS 1.37 1.78 1.75 1.70 1.75 1.75
ITALY 1.75 1.90 1.93 1.70 1.80 1.80
EASTERN EUROPE 1.61 2.00 1.89 1.77 1.89 1.89
FSU-12 0.57 0.52 0.38 0.25 0.26 0.26
RUSSIA 0.20 0.21 0.04 0.09 0.09 0.09
UKRAINE 0.25 0.23 0.25 0.10 0.11 0.11
ASIA & OCEANIA 4.59 5.32 7.32 9.41 9.91 10.16
CHINA 0.00 0.05 1.55 3.30 3.75 4.00
MID-EAST/N AFR 2.69 3.01 3.21 3.28 3.37 3.37
LATIN AMERICA 2.28 2.38 2.93 2.95 3.03 3.03
OTHER 1.01 1.18 1.14 1.04 1.00 1.00
TOTAL 29.26 31.25 32.71 33.73 35.01 35.26
CONSUMPTION
UNITED STATES 22.94 24.08 24.14 24.65 25.40 25.58
LATIN AMERICA 9.71 10.94 11.03 11.77 12.35 12.35
BRAZIL 4.18 5.38 5.21 5.40 5.50 5.50
ARGENTINA 0.30 0.36 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.39
MEXICO 2.41 2.22 2.30 2.66 2.86 2.86
EUROPEAN UNION 22.68 24.42 22.60 22.68 23.15 23.17
FRANCE 4.03 4.30 3.72 3.78 3.80 3.82
GERMANY 3.37 3.37 3.21 3.41 3.32 3.32
NETHERLANDS 2.52 3.11 2.63 2.47 2.62 2.62
ITALY 3.16 3.24 3.18 3.12 3.06 3.06
SPAIN 3.30 3.50 3.45 3.41 3.38 3.38
OTHER W EUROPE 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18
FSU-12 1.00 1.03 0.64 0.47 0.47 0.47
EASTERN EUROPE 1.93 2.27 2.14 2.12 2.25 2.25
POLAND 0.55 0.71 0.78 0.74 0.84 0.84
ASIA & OCEANIA 16.92 17.93 20.92 23.82 25.44 25.88
JAPAN 3.73 3.70 3.63 3.68 3.71 3.77
CHINA 5.11 5.33 7.49 10.18 11.50 11.74
TAIWAN 1.88 1.86 1.86 1.64 1.74 1.74
KOREA, REP OF 1.49 1.77 1.92 1.96 1.98 1.98
MID-EAST/N AFR 3.39 3.95 4.11 4.26 4.48 4.48
OTHER 2.01 2.30 2.39 2.42 2.47 2.47
TOTAL 80.72 87.08 88.14 92.36 96.19 96.83
ENDING STOCKS
UNITED STATES 0.14 0.20 0.19 0.23 0.23 0.23
BRAZIL 0.94 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.90 0.90
ARGENTINA 0.61 0.52 0.30 0.25 0.33 0.37
OTHER 2.27 2.67 2.87 2.67 2.53 2.56
TOTAL 3.95 4.37 4.34 4.14 3.99 4.05
NOTE: TOTALS MAY NOT ADD DUE TO ROUNDING.
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 8
SOYBEAN OIL: WORLD SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(MILLION METRIC TONS)
PRELIM SEP OCT
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98 1997/98
PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES 6.33 7.08 6.91 7.14 7.56 7.56
LATIN AMERICA 5.81 6.09 6.64 6.63 6.82 6.86
BRAZIL 3.47 3.80 4.03 3.76 3.78 3.78
ARGENTINA 1.52 1.49 1.78 1.89 2.02 2.05
MEXICO 0.45 0.40 0.42 0.52 0.54 0.54
EUROPEAN UNION 2.24 2.58 2.47 2.66 2.66 2.66
OTHER W EUROPE 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
FSU-12 0.08 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04
EASTERN EUROPE 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.10 0.10
ASIA 3.26 3.25 3.45 3.53 3.81 3.91
JAPAN 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.69 0.67 0.68
CHINA 1.14 1.21 1.15 1.31 1.47 1.48
TAIWAN 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.35 0.38 0.38
INDIA 0.65 0.50 0.71 0.66 0.72 0.81
OTHER 0.42 0.49 0.51 0.57 0.62 0.62
TOTAL 18.25 19.70 20.17 20.72 21.67 21.82
EXPORTS
UNITED STATES 0.69 1.22 0.45 0.93 1.02 1.09
BRAZIL 1.35 1.49 1.60 1.33 1.33 1.33
ARGENTINA 1.45 1.41 1.56 1.78 1.90 2.00
EUROPEAN UNION 0.91 1.29 1.11 1.20 1.17 1.17
OTHER 0.46 0.52 0.58 0.68 0.60 0.60
TOTAL 4.85 5.92 5.29 5.91 6.02 6.19
IMPORTS
UNITED STATES 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03
EUROPEAN UNION 0.50 0.63 0.54 0.52 0.55 0.55
FSU-12 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07
EASTERN EUROPE 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11
CHINA 0.64 1.70 1.45 1.65 1.60 1.75
INDIA 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.11 0.14 0.14
PAKISTAN 0.17 0.17 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.15
MID-EAST/N AFR 1.39 1.34 0.97 1.14 1.24 1.24
IRAN 0.49 0.50 0.34 0.38 0.41 0.41
MOROCCO 0.18 0.15 0.12 0.18 0.19 0.19
TURKEY 0.17 0.14 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.13
TUNISIA 0.11 0.14 0.09 0.10 0.11 0.11
LATIN AMERICA 0.93 0.99 0.87 1.03 1.10 1.10
BRAZIL 0.24 0.18 0.10 0.18 0.17 0.17
MEXICO 0.08 0.07 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.09
CHILE 0.09 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.11
PERU 0.11 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15
COLOMBIA 0.09 0.11 0.13 0.15 0.18 0.18
OTHER 0.83 1.05 0.92 1.06 1.15 1.15
TOTAL 4.74 6.10 5.13 5.84 6.13 6.28
CONSUMPTION
UNITED STATES 5.87 5.86 6.11 6.45 6.49 6.50
LATIN AMERICA 3.74 3.99 3.99 4.26 4.47 4.47
BRAZIL 2.32 2.47 2.53 2.60 2.70 2.70
ARGENTINA 0.08 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10
MEXICO 0.52 0.45 0.44 0.59 0.60 0.60
EUROPEAN UNION 1.85 1.92 1.95 1.98 2.04 2.04
OTHER W EUROPE 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
FSU-12 0.16 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11
EASTERN EUROPE 0.20 0.18 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.20
ASIA 4.49 5.22 5.46 5.73 6.11 6.33
JAPAN 0.67 0.68 0.67 0.69 0.70 0.70
CHINA 1.76 2.53 2.61 2.85 3.05 3.23
TAIWAN 0.39 0.39 0.40 0.36 0.38 0.38
KOREA, REP OF 0.22 0.24 0.26 0.28 0.29 0.29
INDIA 0.71 0.56 0.77 0.77 0.86 0.90
PAKISTAN 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.16 0.16 0.16
BANGLADESH 0.32 0.39 0.30 0.27 0.28 0.28
MID-EAST/N AFR 1.55 1.53 1.19 1.35 1.48 1.48
IRAN 0.52 0.52 0.36 0.40 0.43 0.43
MOROCCO 0.18 0.16 0.12 0.19 0.20 0.20
TURKEY 0.18 0.19 0.15 0.17 0.17 0.17
OTHER 0.50 0.59 0.60 0.73 0.81 0.81
TOTAL 18.42 19.46 19.64 20.87 21.76 21.99
ENDING STOCKS
UNITED STATES 0.50 0.52 0.91 0.70 0.81 0.71
BRAZIL 0.35 0.37 0.38 0.38 0.30 0.31
ARGENTINA 0.16 0.15 0.28 0.30 0.31 0.25
OTHER 0.71 1.10 0.95 0.92 0.97 0.96
TOTAL 1.72 2.14 2.51 2.30 2.39 2.22
NOTE: TOTALS MAY NOT ADD DUE TO ROUNDING.
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 9
SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS: WORLD TRADE
(1000 METRIC TONS)
LOCAL MKTG YEARS
SOYBEANS SOYBEAN MEAL SOYBEAN OIL
1996/97 1997/98 1996/97 1997/98 1996/97 1997/98
EXPORTERS
UNITED STATES 1/ 24,004 26,127 6,441 6,713 930 1,089
BRAZIL 8,000 7,350 10,660 10,650 1,325 1,325
ARGENTINA 750 1,500 8,600 9,150 1,775 2,000
EUROPEAN UNION 279 286 4,153 4,053 1,199 1,172
SPAIN 1 2 60 40 190 170
PORTUGAL 4 4 13 20 70 76
PARAGUAY 1,650 1,675 587 646 135 145
OTHER 1,298 1,633 3,458 3,999 543 458
WORLD TOTAL 35,981 38,571 33,899 35,211 5,907 6,189
SELECTED IMPORTERS
EUROPEAN UNION 15,118 15,075 14,983 15,495 518 549
GERMANY 3,430 3,410 1,600 1,500 120 123
NETHERLANDS 4,300 4,450 1,700 1,750 30 50
SPAIN 2,530 2,600 1,600 1,650 8 8
ITALY 1,050 680 1,700 1,800 15 15
BEL-LUX 1,168 1,225 968 973 50 60
PORTUGAL 620 770 150 84 14 2
FRANCE 720 600 3,300 3,400 57 60
U.K. 855 900 1,330 1,575 103 105
DENMARK 70 70 1,400 1,450 40 40
OTHER W EUROPE 375 382 48 50 7 7
FSU-12 48 55 247 255 61 72
RUSSIA 8 15 90 90 20 30
UKRAINE 20 20 100 105 38 40
EASTERN EUROPE 201 313 1,773 1,893 106 105
POLAND 60 120 700 750 75 75
HUNGARY 7 5 450 510 0 0
ASIA 13,551 14,612 9,028 9,730 2,545 2,712
JAPAN 5,000 4,850 825 800 2 2
TAIWAN 2,374 2,500 30 30 18 22
KOREA, REP OF 1,600 1,550 950 900 60 70
INDONESIA 800 920 1,025 1,150 10 18
PHILIPPINES 160 305 965 860 18 15
INDIA 0 0 0 0 110 140
PAKISTAN 42 40 110 120 150 150
MID-EAST/N AFR 1,078 1,207 3,284 3,372 1,137 1,242
ISRAEL 525 525 38 38 25 27
IRAN 0 0 540 560 380 410
EGYPT 115 200 540 475 90 100
IRAQ 0 0 60 60 3 3
MOROCCO 60 80 80 100 180 190
TUNISIA 0 0 170 190 100 110
ALGERIA 0 0 325 327 120 127
TURKEY 225 250 350 425 125 125
LATIN AMERICA 6,361 5,035 2,950 3,133 1,053 1,129
MEXICO 3,063 3,100 200 200 91 90
VENEZUELA 300 320 550 600 121 123
CANADA 190 70 650 595 55 45
OTHER 582 446 771 841 386 448
WORLD TOTAL 36,254 38,585 33,734 35,264 5,843 6,279
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 10
VEGETABLE OIL PRODUCTION, CONSUMPTION AND IMPORTS
FOR SELECTED COUNTRIES, 1,000 METRIC TONS
IMPORT PRELIM FORCST
MARKETING 1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98
YEAR
INDIA
TOTAL PROD MY 5,278 5,430 5,718 5,984 6,012
TOTAL CONSUM MY 5,582 6,110 6,902 7,443 7,571
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 264 680 1,204 1,444 1,594
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 200 480 970 950 1,050
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 41 60 60 110 140
RAPESEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 15 20 40 40 50
FSU-12
TOTAL PROD MY 2,189 1,927 2,577 2,186 2,267
TOTAL CONSUM MY 2,488 2,272 2,650 2,675 2,668
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 720 755 843 710 846
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 83 121 133 138 138
SUNFLOWERSEED OIL (SEP-AUG) 248 317 380 224 354
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 80 47 50 61 72
PAKISTAN
TOTAL PROD MY 324 343 431 415 443
TOTAL CONSUM MY 1,607 1,706 1,590 1,677 1,760
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 1,236 1,381 1,146 1,262 1,317
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 1,060 1,210 1,015 1,100 1,150
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 172 167 124 150 150
EGYPT
TOTAL PROD MY 123 101 94 112 125
TOTAL CONSUM MY 939 1,000 843 873 925
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 816 899 749 761 800
SUNSEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 180 280 138 190 200
COTTONSEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 82 90 107 73 80
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 420 370 390 390 400
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 117 127 98 90 100
IRAN
TOTAL PROD MY 38 51 54 55 55
TOTAL CONSUM MY 697 1,106 875 916 956
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 659 1,055 821 861 901
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 113 54 50 50 60
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 494 500 340 380 410
SUNSEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 51 500 430 430 430
ALGERIA
TOTAL PROD MY 18 14 16 16 16
TOTAL CONSUM MY 472 522 502 524 551
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 454 508 486 508 535
SUNSEED OIL (JAN-DEC) 90 170 170 170 190
RAPESEED OIL (JAN-DEC) 40 50 60 62 60
MOROCCO
TOTAL PROD MY 75 109 74 81 85
TOTAL CONSUM MY 307 337 325 312 321
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 238 233 254 239 239
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 178 147 116 180 190
RAPESEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 51 77 129 50 40
NIGERIA
TOTAL PROD MY 774 785 766 770 754
TOTAL CONSUM MY 912 943 966 920 914
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 128 158 180 150 150
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 100 130 160 150 150
RAPESEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 20 20 20 0 0
VENEZUELA
TOTAL PROD MY 141 161 157 172 176
TOTAL CONSUM MY 433 505 421 434 445
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 292 336 262 259 269
SUNSEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 145 145 130 125 130
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 138 175 119 121 123
COTTONSEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 2 3 2 2 3
CHINA
TOTAL PROD MY 5,307 6,070 6,840 6,813 6,577
TOTAL CONSUM MY 7,330 9,627 9,403 10,080 10,586
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 2,487 4,431 2,815 3,609 4,110
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 1,420 1,667 1,006 1,500 1,775
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 640 1,702 1,445 1,650 1,750
RAPESEED OIL (OCT-SEP) 360 944 303 375 500
BANGLADESH
TOTAL PROD MY 112 109 113 113 114
TOTAL CONSUM MY 687 759 538 538 580
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 575 660 400 445 455
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP) 285 425 275 275 275
PALM OIL (OCT-SEP) 260 200 95 140 150
TOTAL OF SELECTED
IMPORTERS
TOTAL PROD MY 14,379 15,100 16,840 16,717 16,624
TOTAL CONSUM MY 21,454 24,887 25,015 26,392 27,277
TOTAL IMPORTS MY 7,869 11,096 9,160 10,248 11,216
PALM OIL MY 3,789 4,380 3,977 4,586 5,044
SOYBEAN OIL MY 2,342 3,500 2,737 3,137 3,337
SUNSEED OIL MY 715 1,482 1,333 1,439 1,619
RAPESEED OIL MY 571 1,144 623 603 721
NOTE: PRODUCTION IS OIL PROCESSED FROM DOMESTIC AND/OR
IMPORTED OILSEEDS, PLUS OIL FROM OTHER DOMESTIC
SOURCES SUCH AS PALM OIL AND FISH OIL. ANIMAL FATS
ARE NOT INCLUDED. CONSUMPTION DATA MAY INCLUDE
YEAR-TO-YEAR ADJUSTMENTS IN CASES WHERE STOCK
DATA IS NOT AVAILABLE OR RELIABLE.
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 11
U.S.: OILSEEDS AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
LOCAL MARKETING YEARS
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
AREA PROD IMP EXP CRUSH END
HA STK
MAJOR OILSEEDS
1988/89(88) 29,507 50,295 144 14,790 33,160 6,020
1989/90(89) 29,376 59,257 195 17,525 34,853 7,194
1990/91(90) 29,130 60,550 214 15,640 36,362 9,959
1991/92(91) 30,686 64,316 174 19,419 39,250 8,742
1992/93(92) 29,624 68,442 116 21,714 39,460 8,972
1993/94(93) 30,149 59,497 551 16,560 39,218 6,678
1994/95(94) 32,203 79,715 497 23,808 43,989 10,273
1995/96(95) 33,568 69,095 464 23,929 42,572 6,051
1996/97(96) 32,579 74,825 606 24,637 44,128 4,649
MAJOR PROTEIN MEALS
1988/89(88) - 24,993 389 5,016 - 249
1989/90(89) - 27,138 403 4,923 - 349
1990/91(90) - 27,948 477 5,124 - 358
1991/92(91) - 29,703 702 6,572 - 263
1992/93(92) - 29,938 981 5,908 - 223
1993/94(93) - 30,284 1,024 5,098 - 200
1994/95(94) - 33,238 860 6,357 - 262
1995/96(95) - 32,293 1,048 5,686 - 253
1996/97(96) - 33,747 1,023 6,650 - 296
MAJOR VEGETABLE AND MARINE OILS
1988/89(88) - 6,367 1,033 1,278 - 1,035
1989/90(89) - 6,862 1,071 1,072 - 858
1990/91(90) - 7,083 1,111 789 - 1,098
1991/92(91) - 7,772 1,139 1,266 - 1,280
1992/93(92) - 7,386 1,338 1,126 - 1,026
1993/94(93) - 7,513 1,363 1,202 - 819
1994/95(94) - 8,595 1,300 2,066 - 756
1995/96(95) - 8,277 1,295 1,062 - 1,220
1996/97(96) - 8,436 1,461 1,597 - 1,011
NOTE: MAJOR OILSEEDS INCLUDE COTTON, PEANUTS, RAPESEED, SOYBEAN
AND SUNFLOWERSEED. MAJOR MEALS INCLUDE COPRA, COTTON, FISH
PEANUT, RAPESEED, SOYBEAN, AND SUNFLOWERSEED. MAJOR
VEGETABLE AND FISH OILS INCLUDE COCONUT, COTTONSEED, FISH,
OLIVE, PALM, PALM KERNEL, PEANUT, RAPESEED, SOYBEAN, AND
SUNFLOWERSEED
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTS,
OFFICIAL STATISTICS, USDA ESTIMATES
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 12
U.S.: SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
LOCAL MARKETING YEARS
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
AREA PROD IMP EXP CRUSH END
HA STK
SOYBEAN (SEP-AUG)
1988/89(88) 23,218 42,152 98 14,355 28,794 4,954
1989/90(89) 24,094 52,354 68 16,933 31,189 6,508
1990/91(90) 22,870 52,416 95 15,161 32,305 8,955
1991/92(91) 23,477 54,065 94 18,614 34,128 7,578
1992/93(92) 23,566 59,612 56 20,944 34,808 7,955
1993/94(93) 23,208 50,919 175 16,032 34,716 5,691
1994/95(94) 24,629 68,493 136 22,810 38,242 9,112
1995/96(95) 24,938 59,243 121 23,165 37,273 4,993
1996/97(96) 25,661 64,837 272 24,004 39,080 3,583
1997/98(97) 28,254 74,077 136 26,127 40,687 7,348
SOYBEAN MEAL (OCT-SEP)
1988/89(88) - 22,628 16 4,937 - 157
1989/90(89) - 25,146 33 4,825 - 289
1990/91(90) - 25,696 41 4,962 - 259
1991/92(91) - 27,062 61 6,301 - 209
1992/93(92) - 27,546 84 5,653 - 185
1993/94(93) - 27,682 63 4,859 - 136
1994/95(94) - 30,182 58 6,094 - 203
1995/96(95) - 29,508 68 5,445 - 193
1996/97(96) - 31,026 95 6,441 - 227
1997/98(97) - 32,182 113 6,713 - 227
SOYBEAN OIL (OCT-SEP)
1988/89(88) - 5,324 62 754 - 778
1989/90(89) - 5,898 10 614 - 592
1990/91(90) - 6,082 8 354 - 810
1991/92(91) - 6,507 0 747 - 1,016
1992/93(92) - 6,250 5 644 - 705
1993/94(93) - 6,328 31 694 - 500
1994/95(94) - 7,082 8 1,216 - 516
1995/96(95) - 6,913 43 450 - 914
1996/97(96) - 7,142 25 930 - 703
1997/98(97) - 7,561 27 1,089 - 705
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTS,
OFFICIAL STATISTICS, USDA ESTIMATES
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 13
BRAZIL: SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
LOCAL MARKETING YEARS
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
AREA PROD IMP EXP CRUSH END
HA STK
SOYBEANS (FEB-JAN)
1989/90(88) 12,150 23,600 63 5,080 16,189 1,325
1990/91(89) 11,550 20,340 0 4,220 15,435 800
1991/92(90) 9,750 15,750 350 1,645 13,057 998
1992/93(91) 9,700 19,300 430 3,826 14,721 831
1993/94(92) 10,625 22,500 0 4,184 16,765 832
1994/95(93) 11,440 24,700 900 5,395 18,736 651
1995/96(94) 11,680 25,900 900 3,492 21,599 710
1996/97(95) 10,950 23,700 1,300 3,633 20,154 373
1997/98(96) 11,800 26,500 2,000 8,300 19,250 323
SOYBEAN MEAL (FEB-JAN)
1989/90(88) - 12,625 0 9,577 - 437
1990/91(89) - 12,082 0 8,994 - 686
1991/92(90) - 10,250 0 7,414 - 397
1992/93(91) - 11,556 0 8,136 - 467
1993/94(92) - 13,161 0 9,301 - 526
1994/95(93) - 14,726 0 10,519 - 434
1995/96(94) - 16,977 0 11,471 - 640
1996/97(95) - 15,841 100 10,900 - 381
1997/98(96) - 15,130 200 10,082 - 279
SOYBEAN OIL (FEB-JAN)
1989/90(88) - 3,050 15 864 - 115
1990/91(89) - 2,908 12 887 - 137
1991/92(90) - 2,450 45 410 - 149
1992/93(91) - 2,760 80 710 - 123
1993/94(92) - 3,154 93 771 - 257
1994/95(93) - 3,522 320 1,556 - 144
1995/96(94) - 4,061 162 1,643 - 224
1996/97(95) - 3,749 175 1,350 - 198
1997/98(96) - 3,584 200 1,160 - 162
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTS,
OFFICIAL STATISTICS, USDA ESTIMATES
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 14
ARGENTINA: SOYBEANS AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
LOCAL MARKETING YEARS
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
AREA PROD IMP EXP CRUSH END
HA STK
SOYBEANS (APR-MAR)
1989/90(88) 4,000 6,500 0 516 5,413 803
1990/91(89) 4,950 10,750 0 3,511 6,566 1,046
1991/92(90) 4,750 11,500 0 4,401 7,368 318
1992/93(91) 4,800 11,150 0 2,921 7,900 200
1993/94(92) 4,900 11,350 0 2,274 8,667 155
1994/95(93) 5,400 12,400 0 2,957 8,718 322
1995/96(94) 5,700 12,500 0 2,614 9,280 365
1996/97(95) 5,980 12,430 10 2,014 9,927 276
1997/98(96) 6,200 11,500 350 750 10,700 266
SOYBEAN MEAL (APR-MAR)
1989/90(88) - 4,368 0 4,350 - 164
1990/91(89) - 5,384 0 4,860 - 588
1991/92(90) - 6,042 0 6,294 - 185
1992/93(91) - 6,439 0 6,230 - 194
1993/94(92) - 7,064 0 6,844 - 154
1994/95(93) - 7,105 0 6,731 - 178
1995/96(94) - 7,563 0 7,150 - 216
1996/97(95) - 8,091 0 7,781 - 150
1997/98(96) - 8,720 0 8,300 - 170
SOYBEAN OIL (APR-MAR)
1989/90(88) - 927 0 868 - 77
1990/91(89) - 1,124 0 1,006 - 120
1991/92(90) - 1,261 0 1,266 - 41
1992/93(91) - 1,359 0 1,295 - 30
1993/94(92) - 1,499 0 1,409 - 45
1994/95(93) - 1,508 0 1,442 - 34
1995/96(94) - 1,605 0 1,477 - 67
1996/97(95) - 1,717 0 1,634 - 50
1997/98(96) - 1,850 0 1,745 - 55
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTS,
OFFICIAL STATISTICS, USDA ESTIMATES
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 15
ARGENTINA: SUNFLOWERSEED AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
LOCAL MARKETING YEARS
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
AREA PROD IMP EXP CRUSH END
HA STK
SUNFLOWERSEED (MAR-FEB)
1989/90(88) 2,200 3,200 0 115 3,340 82
1990/91(89) 2,800 3,800 0 331 3,400 111
1991/92(90) 2,300 4,200 0 338 3,747 181
1992/93(91) 2,800 3,800 0 300 3,500 136
1993/94(92) 2,300 3,100 0 200 2,850 136
1994/95(93) 2,070 3,850 0 580 3,240 116
1995/96(94) 2,800 5,900 0 884 4,951 121
1996/97(95) 3,200 5,600 0 550 5,000 111
1997/98(96) 2,900 5,200 0 100 5,050 101
SUNFLOWERSEED MEAL (MAR-FEB)
1989/90(88) - 1,435 0 1,280 - 148
1990/91(89) - 1,462 0 1,403 - 140
1991/92(90) - 1,574 0 1,475 - 139
1992/93(91) - 1,470 0 1,375 - 114
1993/94(92) - 1,197 0 1,057 - 134
1994/95(93) - 1,393 0 1,300 - 107
1995/96(94) - 2,129 0 1,996 - 90
1996/97(95) - 2,100 0 1,954 - 96
1997/98(96) - 2,121 0 2,000 - 77
SUNFLOWERSEED OIL (MAR-FEB)
1989/90(88) - 1,365 0 925 - 137
1990/91(89) - 1,377 0 1,162 - 134
1991/92(90) - 1,499 0 1,175 - 140
1992/93(91) - 1,400 0 1,050 - 140
1993/94(92) - 1,112 0 775 - 106
1994/95(93) - 1,280 0 920 - 76
1995/96(94) - 1,980 0 1,556 - 81
1996/97(95) - 2,000 0 1,510 - 91
1997/98(96) - 1,970 0 1,510 - 71
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTS,
OFFICIAL STATISTICS, USDA ESTIMATES
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 16
EUROPEAN UNION:
OILSEEDS AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98
PRELIM FORECAST
OILSEED PRODUCTION
RAPESEED 6,594 6,985 8,271 7,137 8,439
SUNFLOWERSEED 3,506 4,026 3,210 3,896 3,709
SOYBEANS 807 1,029 939 1,153 1,442
OTHER 594 647 717 592 732
TOTAL 11,501 12,687 13,137 12,778 14,322
PROTEIN MEAL CONSUMPTION 1/
SOYBEAN 22,683 24,424 22,599 22,683 23,165
SUNFLOWERSEED 3,761 4,279 4,295 4,391 4,540
RAPESEED 4,345 5,067 5,250 4,700 5,148
CORN GLUTEN FEED/M 6,550 6,325 6,455 6,450 6,500
OTHER 5,016 4,729 4,610 4,612 4,764
TOTAL 3/ 35,805 38,499 36,754 36,386 37,617
TOTAL SME 4/ 37,691 39,833 38,035 37,774 38,770
OIL CONSUMPTION 1/
SOYBEAN 1,848 1,920 1,951 1,978 2,044
OLIVE 1,343 1,344 1,178 1,393 1,492
SUNFLOWERSEED 1,746 1,811 1,880 1,816 1,918
RAPESEED 1,666 2,010 2,180 1,957 2,004
OTHER 3,286 3,433 3,358 3,336 3,373
TOTAL 9,889 10,518 10,547 10,480 10,831
IMPORTS(EX.INTRA TRADE) 5/ 6/
SOYBEANS 12,870 15,695 13,999 14,839 14,800
SOYBEAN MEAL 13,877 13,903 12,356 11,466 11,991
SUNFLOWERSEED 1,457 1,611 2,193 1,436 2,107
EXPORTS(EX.INTRA TRADE) 5/ 6/
SOYBEAN MEAL 571 771 635 627 544
SOYBEAN OIL 368 703 573 686 712
RAPESEED OIL 906 1,067 1,098 642 915
1/ AN AGGREGATE OF DIFFERENT MARKETING YEARS
2/ BASED ON EC IMPORT DATA ONLY
3/ CORN GLUTEN FEED/MEAL NOT INCLUDED
4/ 44-PERCENT SOYBEAN MEAL EQUIVALENT, INCLUDING CORN GLUTEN FEED/MEAL.
5/ OCTOBER-SEPTEMBER YEARS
6/ DOES NOT INCLUDE THE STATISTICS FROM THE FORMER GER DEM REP
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTSFOREIGN AGRICULTURE SERVICE
OFFICIAL STATISTICS COTTON, OILSEEDS, TOBACCO
USDA ESTIMATES and SEEDS DIVISION
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 17
RUSSIA:
OILSEEDS AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98
PRELIM FORECAST
OILSEED PRODUCTION
RAPESEED 96 122 125 110 115
SOYBEANS 497 421 290 282 220
SUNFLOWERSEED 2,765 2,553 4,200 2,800 3,000
TOTAL 3,358 3,096 4,615 3,192 3,335
PROTEIN MEAL CONSUMPTION
SOYBEAN 540 452 230 235 235
SUNFLOWERSEED 765 595 800 767 694
RAPESEED 30 39 32 32 35
FISH 485 488 488 487 487
OTHER 0 0 0 0 0
TOTAL 1/ 1,820 1,574 1,550 1,521 1,451
TOTAL SME 2/ 1,984 1,747 1,713 1,686 1,619
OIL CONSUMPTION
SOYBEAN 100 61 55 45 55
COTTONSEED 108 120 100 95 95
SUNFLOWERSEED 830 831 960 1,013 966
RAPESEED 56 30 55 55 57
FISH 61 61 61 61 61
OTHER 54 60 65 70 65
TOTAL 1/ 1,209 1,163 1,296 1,339 1,299
IMPORTS 3/
SOYBEANS 68 35 35 8 15
SOYBEAN MEAL 200 205 35 90 90
SUNFLOWERSEED OIL 146 206 270 120 260
COTTONSEED OIL 108 120 100 95 95
EXPORTS 3/
SUNFLOWERSEED 450 533 1,265 1,100 1,175
SOYBEANS 17 56 50 70 55
SUNFLOWERSEED OIL 40 21 25 50 20
FISHMEAL 43 43 43 43 43
FISH OIL 28 28 28 28 28
1/ AN AGGREGATE OF DIFFERENT MARKETING YEARS
2/ 44-PERCENT SOYBEAN MEAL EQUIVALENT
3/ ASSORTED MARKETING YEARS
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTSFOREIGN AGRICULTURAL SERV
OFFICIAL STATISTICS COTTON, OILSEEDS, TOBACCO
USDA ESTIMATES and SEEDS DIVISION
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
TABLE 18
CHINA
OILSEEDS AND PRODUCTS SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
(1,000 METRIC TONS)
1993/94 1994/95 1995/96 1996/97 1997/98
PRELIM FORECAST
OILSEED PRODUCTION
COTTONSEED 6,658 7,704 8,580 7,560 6,850
PEANUTS 8,420 9,682 10,200 10,140 8,000
RAPESEED 6,940 7,492 9,777 9,200 9,400
SOYBEANS 15,310 16,000 13,500 13,220 13,500
SUNFLOWERSEED 1,282 1,370 1,270 1,325 1,250
TOTAL 38,610 42,248 43,327 41,445 39,000
PROTEIN MEAL CONSUMPTION
SOYBEAN 5,110 5,329 7,488 10,175 11,735
COTTONSEED 2,088 2,513 3,005 2,719 2,439
RAPESEED 3,396 4,236 5,145 4,689 5,000
PEANUT 1,580 2,127 2,277 2,315 1,800
OTHER 1,268 1,332 1,527 1,841 1,570
TOTAL 1/ 13,442 15,537 19,442 21,739 22,544
TOTAL SME 2/ 12,612 14,463 18,118 20,736 21,325
OIL CONSUMPTION
SOYBEAN 1,763 2,527 2,611 2,852 3,230
COTTONSEED 775 897 1,013 868 784
PALM 1,136 1,437 863 1,400 1,775
RAPESEED 2,314 2,997 3,088 3,013 3,193
PEANUT 1,102 1,465 1,597 1,687 1,350
OTHER 240 304 231 260 254
TOTAL 1/ 7,330 9,627 9,403 10,080 10,586
IMPORTS 3/
SOYBEANS 125 155 795 2,200 3,000
RAPESEED 0 235 0 0 0
FISHMEAL 670 700 800 1,050 750
PALM OIL 1,420 1,667 1,006 1,500 1,775
SOYBEAN OIL 640 1,702 1,445 1,650 1,750
RAPESEED OIL 360 944 303 375 500
EXPORTS 3/
SOYBEANS 1,100 394 222 200 200
PEANUTS 472 474 457 400 100
SOYBEAN MEAL 1,050 1,275 100 25 25
COTTONSEED MEAL 525 500 406 200 200
RAPESEED MEAL 450 86 307 500 200
PALM OIL 284 230 143 100 0
PEANUT OIL 66 13 6 6 5
RAPESEED OIL 93 242 119 125 100
1/ AN AGGREGATE OF DIFFERENT MARKETING YEARS
2/ 44-PERCENT SOYBEAN MEAL EQUIVALENT
3/ ASSORTED MARKETING YEARS
SOURCE: COUNSELOR AND ATTACHE REPORTSFOREIGN AGRICULTURAL SERV
OFFICIAL STATISTICS COTTON, OILSEEDS, TOBACCO
USDA ESTIMATES and SEEDS DIVISION
DATE: OCTOBER 1997
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