Agricultural
Commodity
Exchange Project (COMEX) in Russia
Team Report, Executive Summary
The Russian Agricultural Commodity Exchange Program (COMEX) began in early 1994 and continues through 1996. The last of the Russian workshops was held in October/November 1995 and the US short courses in April 1996. A directory of Russian traders was published the same month. Still remaining to be completed is the Russian-language grain trading manual, a project which has yet to reach draft form (see below) but which is planned to be published by year-end 1996.
Because of the rapidly changing status of the Russian grain trading system, the project was run on an ad hoc approach. Initially designed to support the development of nascent commodity exchanges, it soon became apparent that those markets were not functioning. What was meant to be futures trading was, in reality, cash trading. Most commodity exchanges were privately owned and became, more then anything, sources for information on grain trade. All these have disappeared and today there is no active agricultural commodity exchange operating in Russia. Indeed, the lack of a general legal framework for most commercial and business operations and a weak rule of law handicap the creation of any industry-wide institution in the grain sector.
The ad hoc approach of the COMEX project was both its strength and weakness, allowing for flexibility in developing new projects to meet Russia's needs but also leading to imprecise strategies, goals, and responsibilities. The project succeeded best with personal contact. The USDA asked the COMEX organizers to use the Institute of World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO). a Russian thinktank with diverse responsibilities. Its agribusiness center coordinated COMEX operations in Russia as well as performing other tasks for other international donors.
Major Successes
Overall, there is no question that the COMEX project yielded important results in:
Technical Assistance
The COMEX project, in cooperation with other international donor agencies, assisted in developing a variety of institutions, with varied results. Once it became apparent that Russian agricultural commodity exchanges were not functioning, COMEX shifted direction to encourage private enterprise to develop a more competitive grain industry and the skills of a core group of traders and other experts in the channel. The emergence of private grain traders brought less stability to the domestic market and created trading problems with contracts, standards, certification and phytosanitary issues, all areas that COMEX addressed. The project advised the RGU, and attempted to develop information services in St. Petersburg. In particular, COMEX:
These achievements and tasks were not easy. The byzantine nature of the industry, the vastness of the Russian geography with regional disparities and conditions difficult to comprehend, shifting political and business relationships, a rapidly changing economy and, in some cases, outright corruption, complicated COMEX's responsibilities. Understanding these conditions was difficult enough, but the lack of any permanent American presence in Russia complicated it more. The "Resident Adviser," Mr. Matthies, was not resident at all, coming and going on periodic visits. His participation ended early. When in Russia, he worked on an unusual part-time basis, his responsibility based upon deliverables rather then on days. While his knowledge and input contributed immeasurably to the success of the project, the lack of a full-time expert in Russia for a contract this size limited its potential.
The RAA, Dmitri N. Rylko, also contributed strongly to the project's knowledge, but it took time for confidence and responsibilities to develop on both sides. Furthermore, COMEX was administered in the United States on a part-time basis by experts with other significant responsibilities. To be clear: all of the participants were knowledgeable and contributed to the above listed project successes. Nonetheless, the slow awareness of rapidly developing conditions and the difficulties in extending networks outside of IMEMO's circle, detracted from achievements. This became a greater problem towards the project's end when the RA was removed and the COMEX presence in Moscow was reduced.
In a rapidly changing environment, with other international agencies overlapping in the same area and without a constant presence for gathering information, there are doubts as to the wisdom of some assistance. For example, relatively late in the project, in February and May 1995, planning documents show that COMEX continued to focus its efforts to provide support to the Moscow, Samara and Krasnodar commodity exchanges. By then, the importance of commodity exchanges had already begun to fade. Similarly, as Russian institutions develop, the support of one institution over another, such as the Grain Union, has important political implications.
The last months of the project saw a shift in emphasis from attempts to directly influence the Russian agricultural trade to more benign activities. Aside from the last short course in the United States, the RA was withdrawn and the activities of the RAA, lessened. More academic activities were put in their stead, notably the preparation of the grain traders manual.
The grain traders' manual, "Russian Grain Marketing" could not be assessed completely. Rough drafts and information from Russian sources are currently being reviewed and initial working drafts have yet to be written. Significant doubts exist as to the wisdom of such a work in such a vague and transitory period, especially with the removal of the "Resident adviser" role in Moscow. The work, over a year in preparation, researched in Russian, translated, written and retranslated into Russian, risks being dated before it is published.
A "Training the Trainer" program was originally envisaged to train two or three people over the longer-term at American universities. They were to return home to serve as a basis for an agricultural extension service. No suitable candidate was found to participate because most Russian agricultural experts could not afford the time away from what is a rapidly evolving industry. Secondly, no Russian institution could be found to continue the extension training.
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