Market and Trade Data
Germany’s Food and Beverage Market Holds Potential
for Targeted U.S. Export Efforts
October 2006
Printable version
By
Christel E. Wagner
See also . .
.
FAS Reports
GM6018,
GM6030
Germany has the world’s third largest economy after the
U.S. and Japan, and is the leading market for food and
beverages in the EU (European Union). In 2005, Germany’s
consumers spent approximately $241 billion on food and
beverages, or 15 percent of total national expenditures.
Of this amount, about 19 percent was spent in
restaurants, canteens, and other places where food and
beverages were served. The remainder was spent in retail
food and beverage outlets.
|
Germany has the world’s third-largest economy
(after the United States and Japan), and the EU’s
largest food and beverage market. |
Germany’s stagnant economy, however, has slowed retail
sales, including sales of food products. In 2005 Germany
imported $721 million worth of U.S. consumer-oriented
agricultural products, substantially more than the $648
million a year earlier. The increase in imports was
mainly in fish products, meat products, tree nuts, fresh
fruits, and edible dry beans, which together accounted
for approximately one-third of all U.S. agricultural
exports to Germany.
The major competitors in the consumer-oriented products
market are from EU countries, particularly the
Netherlands, France, Italy, and Spain. The U.S. is the
second largest non-EU supplier of consumer-oriented
products to Germany, after Turkey.
Demographics Support Growing Food and Beverage Demand
Germany is a large and affluent country, with 82.5
million inhabitants and one of the world’s highest
income levels.
A Graying Population: Germany has had one of the
world’s the lowest birth rates, currently only 1.4
babies per woman of childbearing age, and that has led
to an older age structure. This trend, which has
persisted for many years, is not expected to reverse in
the foreseeable future. About 35.4 million of Germany’s
inhabitants, or more than 40 percent, are 45 years of
age or older. Given current demographics, by the year
2030, every other person will be 50 years of age or
older.
Young Women, Young Workers: A rising number of
single-person households and women in the workforce have
had a substantial impact on food consumption. There are
about 14.4 million single-person households in Germany,
about 40 percent of them under 45 years of age.
Convenience Is King: The growing number of
working women has increasingly contributed to Germany’s
high average net household income. The proportion of
working women in the 15-65 age group is 58.9 percent.
The high share of single-person households and the
rising number of working women has led to strong growth
in the consumption of more convenient foods and
beverages, such as frozen items, snacks, and prepared
foods. As people spend less time preparing meals,
take-away foods and eating on the run have increased.
United Politically, Divided Economically: More
than a decade after reunification, the income gap
between the 67 million people living in the western
German states and the 15 million in the former East
Germany still exists. Average incomes in the eastern
states are still markedly lower than in the west, and
the unemployment rate in the east is more than twice as
high that in the west.
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Growth Prospects in Germany’s HRI Sector |
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Industry sources estimate the growth opportunities
in the German food service sector over the next
2-3 years as follows, based on a scale of 5
(excellent) to -5 (poor): |
|
Take
away |
2.60 |
|
Coffee bars/shops |
2.18 |
|
Gas
station snacks |
2.03 |
|
Home
delivery |
1.83 |
|
Event
catering |
1.76 |
|
Big
events |
1.47 |
|
Bakery/butcher/retail snacks |
1.44 |
|
Leisure |
1.43 |
|
Travel |
1.36 |
|
Fast-food |
1.16 |
|
Retail restaurants |
1.04 |
|
Fine
dining |
0.71 |
|
Canteens |
0.29 |
|
Full-service or à la carte restaurants |
-0.11 |
|
Snacks |
-0.99 |
Foreigners and Foreign Travel: A large immigrant
population and the penchant by Germans to travel abroad
have also influenced domestic food consumption behavior.
About 7.3 million foreigners live in Germany, the
majority of whom have been there more than 10 years.
These foreign populations, with their special products
and cuisines, have exerted considerable influence on the
consumption patterns of the entire nation.
As “world class” travelers, many Germans have been
exposed to a large variety of different cultures, which
has also translated into more diverse consumer food
preferences.
HRI Sector Growth Minimal
The German hotel, restaurant, and institutional sector
is large and highly fragmented. Total HRI sales amounted
to $51.4 billion in 2005, not even 1 percent more than
in 2004. However, this is the first modest increase
after several years of market decreases or stagnation
because of the depressed economy. High unemployment and
the uncertainty of the economic future induced consumers
to increase savings and reduce expenditures, including
by eating out less.
The traditional full-service gastronomy segment
(restaurants, pubs, cafés) has not yet fully recovered
from the economic downswing, whereas the bigger players,
e.g., large catering organizations like Compass,
Aramark, and Sodexho, actually achieved a small increase
in revenue. This can be attributed largely to their
ability to streamline expenses and reduce overhead
costs. The outlook for the near future is gradually
improving, albeit only marginally. Take-away foods and
hand-held snacks, the least expensive options, are
viewed as trends with the most potential in the near
future, while fine dining and similar food service
providers continue to feel the impact of an economy
recovering only slowly.
German HRI Market Is Highly Competitive and
Fragmented
German food service operators rarely import products
directly from non-EU countries, because of the
quantities needed, complex import procedures, language
barriers, time differences, and the availability of
specialized importers. Those importers bear the legal
responsibility that the products they import are safe
and meet all applicable German and EU food law
requirements.
Local food and beverage products dominate the German
food service market. However, U.S.-origin ingredients,
such as nuts, dried fruits, and seafood, could be
contained in locally produced foods. Most imports
originate from other EU countries.
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Germany’s Market for Foods and Beverages for
Domestic and Foreign Suppliers |
|
Product
Category |
Major
Suppliers |
Key
Suppliers’ Strengths |
Local
Suppliers’ Advantages & Disadvantages |
|
Meat
and Meat Products
Net
imports:
$5.3 billion |
1.
Netherlands: 17.5%
2. Belgium: 15.0%
United
States: Minor supplier (0.1%) |
|
High-class chefs prefer to buy from local suppliers,
but high-quality beef and game are not available in
sufficient quantities. |
|
Fish
and Fish Products
Net
imports:
$3.0 billion |
1.
Denmark: 11.8%
2. Norway: 11.3%
United
States: 5.7% |
-
Proximity to market
-
Aggressive marketing
-
Highly competitive prices
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Germany
does not produce saltwater fish and seafood in
sufficient quantities. |
|
Rice
Net
imports:
$174.6 million |
1.
Italy: 28.0%
2. Thailand: 13.8%
3. United States: 12.1% |
-
Proximity to market
-
No duties as EU-member (Italy)
|
Germany
does not produce rice. |
|
Edible
Dry Beans
Net
imports:
$38.6 million |
1.
Turkey: 23.8 %
2. Canada: 19.0 %
United
States: 6.0 |
-
Aggressive marketing
-
Established contacts to importers and distributors
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German
production of edible dry beans is negligible.
|
|
Dried
Fruits & Nuts
Net
imports:
$660.9 million |
1.
United States: 55.4%
2. Spain: 17.0%
3. Turkey: 8.5% |
-
Traditional, established contacts
|
Product
is not grown locally (such as pistachios) or not in
sufficient quantities (walnuts, hazelnuts, etc.). |
|
Wines,
Including Sparkling Wines
Net
imports:
$2.31 billion |
1.
Italy: 33.7%
2. France: 29.3%
United
States: 3.3% |
|
Germany
is a large wine producer, but also depends on
imports. |
U.S. Products Must Be Targeted
Despite the existence of a “single” EU market, consumer
demand and the structure of the food and beverage market
vary substantially among the individual EU members, and
the north, south, east, and west parts of Germany. Such
varied markets create opportunities for products
tailored to them.
Generally, U.S. products with the best opportunities in
the German market meet one or more of the following
criteria: the product is not produced in Europe; the
product is not produced in Europe in sufficient
quantities or quality; the fresh product is not in
season; or the product is unique to the United States.
The following categories of U.S. products have good
potential in Germany.
-
Specialty items, such as delicatessen and snack
foods, novelty products, items strongly identified with
the United States, spices, dried vegetables, and wild
rice, have excellent potential.
-
Ethnic foods, for example Italian, Greek, and
Spanish foods, have been popular in Germany for years.
More recently, Asian and Mexican or Tex-Mex foods have
experienced increasing popularity, due in part to
Germans’ extensive international travel. These ethnic
products have become so popular, and sold in sufficient
quantities, that they are now being produced by the
German/European food industry and adapted to local
tastes.
-
Nuts and seeds, including a wide assortment of
tree nuts, peanuts, and sunflower seeds are imported in
significant quantities. Most tree nuts are used as
ingredients by the food processing sector in ice cream,
confectionery, breakfast cereals, and baked goods.
Sunflower seeds are also used mostly as an ingredient,
particularly in very popular sunflower seed bread and
rolls. The German food service industry offers good
opportunities for U.S. almonds, walnuts, hazelnuts,
pecans, pistachios, peanuts, and confectionery-quality
sunflower seeds.
-
Dried fruits are also imported in significant
quantities and varieties, and used mostly as ingredients
in breakfast cereals and baked goods. But dried fruits
are also popular snacks, often in combination with nuts.
-
Wines are popular, and consumption has been
growing in recent years. In particular, the demand for
red wines is strong. Germany is the world’s largest
importer of wine, with imports accounting for about half
of domestic consumption.
-
Fresh fruit and vegetable opportunities
are greatest for products which are not grown in Europe,
or are grown in limited quantities. Potential also
exists for fresh products that can be supplied when EU
counterparts are out of season. Green asparagus,
grapefruit, pears, certain soft fruits, and berries have
the best opportunities.
-
Fruit juices rate high in Germany, which has one
of the world’s highest rates of per capita juice
consumption. Apple and orange juices are the most
popular, and they also make up most imports. The best
opportunities for U.S. products are citrus (orange and
grapefruit) and specialty (cranberry and prune) juices.
-
Fish and seafood products like Alaska pollock,
Alaska salmon, and lobster have enjoyed success in the
German market in recent years.
-
High-quality beef, game, and exotic meat products
have limited opportunities, provided they are
hormone-free. Even though these products are normally
very expensive, they find a market in German gourmet
restaurants. All meat must originate from plants
certified and approved by EU authorities before it can
be shipped to or sold in Germany.
The two major distribution channels for the German food
service trade are cash and carry wholesalers and
specialized distributor/wholesalers that have dry and
cold storage facilities and refrigerated trucks. They
buy from processing companies, importers, and,
occasionally, foreign exporters. To cover the entire
German food service market, regional distributors have
organized in groups such as Intergast and Service Bund.
Some distributors organize in-house food shows once or
twice a year where suppliers can demonstrate their
products to potential customers. This is an excellent
opportunity for U.S. suppliers who are ready to enter
the German food service market.
Christel E. Wagner is an agricultural marketing
specialist in the FAS Office of Agricultural Affairs,
Berlin, Germany. E-mail:
agberlin@fas.usda.gov
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