Canned Deciduous Fruit Situation and Outlook
|Revised 1998/99 aggregate world production is estimated at 1.53 million tons, up 9 percent from the 1997/98 season. Exports, however, are estimated to have declined by 2 percent to 804,296 tons. World production was up for all canned fruit due to more favorable weather conditions in Europe. Northern Hemisphere production for the 1999/2000 marketing year is forecast to increase by 7 percent to 1.17 million tons, and exports are forecast to increase by 14 percent to 626,547 tons. Northern Hemisphere canned peach production will provide more than sufficient supplies to cover world demand. The resumed extraordinary Greek canned peach production is resulting in lower world export prices. Subsidized Greek production is expected to account for nearly all of Mexicos canned peach imports. In the past, Mexico accounted for nearly a third of Chilean exports and was an important market for U.S. producers.|
World Canned Peach Situation
World production of canned peaches for the 1998/99 crop year is revised up by 2 percent to 1,099,064 tons. Production for the Northern Hemisphere for the 1999/2000 marketing year is forecast at 933,469 tons up 3 percent from last years level. Forecasts for the Southern Hemispheres 1999/2000 canned fruit production are not available.
EU production for marketing year 1998/99 is revised up from the previous estimate of 465,000 tons to 480,050 tons. Production in the Southern Hemisphere is also revised up, moving from 242,165 tons to 252,016 tons.
Estimated exports for 1998/99 from the worlds major suppliers is revised down from 513,161 to 498,843 tons, a decrease of 3 percent. Exports from the EU were previously estimated at 372,000 tons and are now placed at 355,011 tons, down 5 percent. The reason for this decline is short EU supplies accompanied by higher prices. Beginning EU stocks for 1998/99, which were previously estimated at only 27,776 tons are now placed at almost half that figure. EU production, which is normally well over 550,000 tons, reached only 480,050 tons. EU production for 1999/2000 is forecast at 565,300 tons Estimates for the 1998/99 U.S. crop remain unchanged at 361,298 tons. The current 1999/2000 U.S. crop is forecasted at 362,669 tons.
World canned pear production for 1998/99 is revised upward by 16 percent to 194,321 tons. Exports are revised slightly downward to 105,018 tons; consequently ending stocks are up by 35,619 tons. EU production is revised up by 19,878 tons to 125,878 and production in the Southern Hemisphere is revised up by 6,693 tons to 67,793 tons. Production for the Northern Hemisphere for the 1999/2000 marketing year is forecast at 107,400 tons down 15 percent from last years level.
Canned Mixed Fruit
World production and exports of canned mixed fruit for the 1998/99 marketing year are revised up by 4 and 3 percent respectively from previous estimates. EU production and exports are up 8,800 tons and 2,325 tons. Southern Hemisphere production is down by 2,724 tons but exports are up by 2,500 tons.
Northern Hemisphere production for the 1999/2000 marketing year is forecast at 98,500 tons, down 3,000 tons from the previous years level.
The 1998/99 canned apricot output is revised upward by 1,046 tons to 67,146 tons. Southern Hemisphere production is revised downward by 3,554 tons, but exports are revised upward by 6,300 tons. Ending stocks for 1998/99 are placed at only 2,322 tons. Northern Hemisphere production and exports are revised up by 26 and 37 percent respectively. Almost all of this increase is accounted for by revised Greek data.
Production for the Northern Hemisphere for the 1999/2000 marketing year is forecast at 30,500 tons, up 31 percent from last years level.
U.S. Canned Fruit Exports
Exports are an integral part of the California canned cling peaches, fruit cocktail and U.S. Bartlett pears industrys overall economic health. U.S. canned fruit exports are forecast to reach 45,000 tons in 1999/2000. With more than adequate supply expected through the turn of the century for canned fruit, market promotion efforts under the Market Access Program (MAP) are vital to help the U.S. canned fruit industry compete against low cost heavily subsidized product from countries such as Greece. In MY 1999, the California Cling Peach Growers Advisory Board plans to use MAP funds in Canada, China, Hong Kong, Japan, and Mexico to educate and convince trade and consumers of the quality, nutritional value, and convenience of U.S. canned fruit.
(The FAS Attache Report search engin contains detailed reports on Canned Fruit for nine countries, including Greece, France, Italy, and Spain. For further information on canned fruit production and trade contact Robert Knapp 202-720-9792. For information on U.S. marketing opportunities, contact Yvette Wedderburn Bomersheim at (202) 720-0911)