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Orange Juice Outlook for Selected Countries
Orange juice production in the Northern Hemisphere producing countries in 2000/01 is forecast at 1.2 million tons, 65 degrees brix, down about 5 percent from the previous years output. U.S. orange juice production is forecast to decrease about 3 percent to 1.0 million tons. U.S. exports in 2000/01 are forecast at 104,000 tons, about 4 percent ahead of the previous years shipments.
U.S. orange juice production in 2000/01 is forecast at 1.0 million tons, down about 3 percent from last season's output. A lower volume of oranges will be available for processing in 2000/01. The yield for all oranges going into FCOJ is projected at 1.55 gallons per box of 42.0 degrees brix concentrate. U.S. orange juice exports in 2000/01 are forecast at 104,000 tons, about 4 percent more than last year. Major U.S. customers are the European Union (EU), Canada, Japan, Korea and Mexico. In addition to Frozen, Concentrated Orange Juice (FCOJ), a key export from the United States is "Not-From-Concentrate" (NFC) juice, single strength (11.8 degrees brix), which is a higher-quality and higher-priced juice product and is rapidly increasing in importance as an export commodity. Imports of orange juice, mainly FCOJ, in 2000/01 are forecast at 255,000 tons, up 6 percent from the previous year. U.S. consumption of orange juice is expected to continue to rebound from the low level of 1998/99, which was due to reduced supplies and higher prices.
Mexico's orange juice production for 2000/01 is forecast at 40,000 tons, down 4,000 tons from the 1999/2000 level. Production is forecast down because of low international prices and high stocks. Mexico's orange juice exports in 2000/01 are forecast at 36,800 tons, down 4,000 tons from the previous year.
Spain's orange juice production in 2000/01 is forecast at 46,800 tons, up about 3 percent from the previous years level. In Spain, oranges are not grown specifically for juice production. Oranges for juice are primarily those that have been rejected for fresh consumption. Spain is both an importer and exporter of orange juice. During 2000/01, Spains imports of orange juice are forecast at 27,000 tons. Orange juice exports are forecast at 52,000 tons, down about 2 percent from 1999/2000.
Japan's imports of orange juice are forecast at 100,000 tons during 2000/01, down about 2 percent from the previous year but up over 18,000 tons from the 1998/99 level. Japans beverage manufacturers will continue to increase production of citrus juice products.
Korea, Republic of
Korea's imports of orange juice in 2000/01 are forecast at 47,000 tons, a 14-percent increase from the previous year. Brazil normally accounts for about 70 percent of the import total. Consumption of orange juice is forecast to increase as well. However, the orange juice market faces competition from new drink products.
In 2000, Cheju built a processing plant complex that can process more than 60,000 tons of citrus annually. Cheju will produce concentrate, juice, powder, liquor, chocolate, and vinegar made of citrus. Cheju is expecting that the processing plant will help its marketing and will provide a stabilizing effect on market prices.
Forecasts for the Southern Hemisphere are unavailable at this time.
(The FAS Attache Report search engine contains reports on the Orange Juice industries for more than 10 countries, including Italy and Australia. For information on production and trade, contact Debra A. Pumphrey at 202-720-8899. For information on marketing contact Ted Goldammer at 202-720-8498.)